TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13121335
Played Sep 13Finished
Jakub Pilch
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
101210121210112112
Pavel Wawrosz
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePavel Wawrosz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Pilch above · Pavel Wawrosz below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-2
Set 5 · 11-2
Point 92 set 5, 11-2 — our read held Pavel Wawrosz at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Pilch 7–5 Pavel Wawrosz Pavel Wawrosz has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickContradict
Sealed 18:19What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Wawrosz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Pilch
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pilch 1772 vs Wawrosz 1795
Wawrosz
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pilch 20% vs Wawrosz 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pilch 30% vs Wawrosz 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pilch -2 · Wawrosz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wawrosz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wawrosz form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPilch 1.83 / Wawrosz 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Wawrosz)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13121335
Pilch1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Wawrosz1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePilch6wins
AwayWawrosz4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPilch leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePilch75%3 of 4
AwayWawrosz50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pilch4Wawrosz6n = 10Wawrosz took 6 of 10
S2Pilch4Wawrosz6n = 10Wawrosz took 6 of 10
S3Pilch7Wawrosz3n = 10Pilch took 7 of 10
S4Pilch5Wawrosz3n = 8Pilch took 5 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPilchWawroszP − WBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.536.2−0.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPilchWawroszBasisWin rate · lifetime223 / 441 vs 212 / 41850.6%50.7%223 / 441 vs 212 / 418Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WawroszPilch 1.83/Wawrosz 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Wawrosz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pilch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 08:59J. Pilch27481231P. Wawrosz43111110113
WSep 12 · 08:00J. Pilch4111811113P. Wawrosz37911981
LSep 8 · 07:00J. Pilch28551171P. Wawrosz3911116113
LSep 7 · 13:07J. Pilch27117271P. Wawrosz3741111113
WSep 7 · 11:00J. Pilch4271113113P. Wawrosz351171161
WJul 24 · 06:30J. Pilch44111111113P. Wawrosz39139981
LJul 21 · 13:00J. Pilch199640P. Wawrosz331111113
WJul 21 · 11:30J. Pilch331111113P. Wawrosz269980
WJul 15 · 12:30J. Pilch46111212113P. Wawrosz336101431
WJun 17 · 07:30J. Pilch48961111113P. Wawrosz4011116662
J. Pilch10
LSep 13 · 14:30R. Revay1.441311113J. Pilch2.6311460LSep 12 · 08:59J. Pilch1.80481231P. Wawrosz1.91111110113WSep 12 · 08:00P. Wawrosz1.91911981J. Pilch1.8011811113LSep 12 · 07:00L. Prikasky1.9181112113J. Pilch1.801191061LSep 12 · 06:30J. Pilch1.67116112132L. Velebil2.10711711153WSep 10 · 13:00M. Navedla2.25111514862J. Pilch1.579171211113LSep 10 · 12:30O. Paril1.73111110113J. Pilch2.00251261LSep 10 · 11:30J. Pilch2.251151381R. Polasek1.5741115113WSep 10 · 10:30M. Navedla2.007460J. Pilch1.731111113LSep 10 · 09:30J. Pilch2.384860R. Revay1.531111113
P. Wawrosz10
LSep 13 · 14:00P. Wawrosz1.67111151482M. Navedla2.104131112113WSep 12 · 08:59J. Pilch1.80481231P. Wawrosz1.91111110113LSep 12 · 08:00P. Wawrosz1.91911981J. Pilch1.8011811113LSep 12 · 07:30L. Velebil2.1011117113P. Wawrosz1.67881141LSep 12 · 06:00P. Wawrosz1.809111191L. Prikasky1.9111136113WSep 11 · 13:30O. Paril1.85881151P. Wawrosz1.8511119113WSep 11 · 12:30P. Wawrosz1.8361211113R. Revay1.831110681WSep 11 · 11:00P. Wawrosz2.0011127113R. Polasek1.739101191LSep 11 · 10:00O. Paril1.804101111113P. Wawrosz1.9111128572LSep 8 · 09:29P. Wawrosz1.73711661R. Polasek2.0011411113
Upcoming Matches
J. Pilch
P. Wawrosz2 of 6 neutral
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