TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13119313
Played Sep 12Finished
Jakub Pilch
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
4118111210311––
Pavel Wawrosz
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingJakub Pilch above · Pavel Wawrosz below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 70 set 4, 3-11
70 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Pilch 7–4 Pavel Wawrosz Pavel Wawrosz has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Pilch beat Wawrosz 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wawrosz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wawrosz form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPilch 1.80 / Wawrosz 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Wawrosz)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13119313
Pilch1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 55 of 102
Up 2–0, closes it100% 23 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it71% 36 of 51
Wawrosz1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 59 of 118
Down 0–1, comes back35% 19 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back19% 5 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePilch6wins
AwayWawrosz4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPilch leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePilch60%3 of 5
AwayWawrosz40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pilch5Wawrosz5n = 10split evenly
S2Pilch5Wawrosz5n = 10split evenly
S3Pilch6Wawrosz4n = 10Pilch took 6 of 10
S4Pilch5Wawrosz3n = 8Pilch took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPilchWawroszP − WBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.636.7−0.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPilchWawroszBasisWin rate · lifetime223 / 439 vs 211 / 41650.8%50.7%223 / 439 vs 211 / 416Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.639.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WawroszPilch 1.80/Wawrosz 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Wawrosz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wawrosz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 08:00J. Pilch—11811113P. Wawrosz—911981
LSep 8 · 07:00J. Pilch—551171P. Wawrosz—11116113
LSep 7 · 13:07J. Pilch—117271P. Wawrosz—41111113
WSep 7 · 11:00J. Pilch—71113113P. Wawrosz—1171161
WJul 24 · 06:30J. Pilch—111111113P. Wawrosz—139981
LJul 21 · 13:00J. Pilch—9640P. Wawrosz—1111113
WJul 21 · 11:30J. Pilch—1111113P. Wawrosz—9980
WJul 15 · 12:30J. Pilch—111212113P. Wawrosz—6101431
WJun 17 · 07:30J. Pilch—961111113P. Wawrosz—11116662
LJun 15 · 10:00J. Pilch—11114932P. Wawrosz—781111113
J. Pilch10
WSep 12 · 08:00P. Wawrosz1.91911981J. Pilch1.8011811113LSep 12 · 07:00L. Prikasky1.9181112113J. Pilch1.801191061LSep 12 · 06:30J. Pilch1.67116112132L. Velebil2.10711711153WSep 10 · 13:00M. Navedla2.25111514862J. Pilch1.579171211113LSep 10 · 12:30O. Paril1.73111110113J. Pilch2.00251261LSep 10 · 11:30J. Pilch2.251151381R. Polasek1.5741115113WSep 10 · 10:30M. Navedla2.007460J. Pilch1.731111113LSep 10 · 09:30J. Pilch2.384860R. Revay1.531111113WSep 10 · 08:30M. Navedla2.0081090J. Pilch1.731112113WSep 10 · 07:30J. Pilch2.001361111113M. Vavrecka1.73111181342
P. Wawrosz10
LSep 12 · 08:00P. Wawrosz1.91911981J. Pilch1.8011811113LSep 12 · 07:30L. Velebil2.1011117113P. Wawrosz1.67881141LSep 12 · 06:00P. Wawrosz1.809111191L. Prikasky1.9111136113WSep 11 · 13:30O. Paril1.85881151P. Wawrosz1.8511119113WSep 11 · 12:30P. Wawrosz1.8361211113R. Revay1.831110681WSep 11 · 11:00P. Wawrosz2.0011127113R. Polasek1.739101191LSep 11 · 10:00O. Paril1.804101111113P. Wawrosz1.9111128572LSep 8 · 09:29P. Wawrosz1.73711661R. Polasek2.0011411113WSep 8 · 08:00R. Polasek1.8312881192P. Wawrosz1.831011116113WSep 8 · 07:00J. Pilch1.73551171P. Wawrosz2.0011116113
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