TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13119391
Played Sep 13Finished
Pavel Wawrosz
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11411135111412811
Matyas Navedla
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:43 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timePavel Wawrosz to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPavel Wawrosz above · Matyas Navedla below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 14-12
Set 5 · 5-3
Point 89 set 5, 5-3 — our read held Pavel Wawrosz at 55.8%
89 points drawn · the score is 11 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Pavel Wawrosz 23–13 Matyas Navedla Matyas Navedla has won 13 of their 36 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:43What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Wawrosz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-13 in 36
Wawrosz
Wrong
gap of 10 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wawrosz 1797 vs Navedla 1766
Wawrosz
Wrong
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wawrosz 40% vs Navedla 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wawrosz 50% vs Navedla 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wawrosz +1 · Navedla -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Wawrosz) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wawrosz form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWawrosz 1.67 / Navedla 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Wawrosz)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13119391
Wawrosz1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite51% won 137 of 268
Up 2–0, closes it86% 50 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it71% 89 of 126
Navedla2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 135 of 314
Down 0–1, comes back24% 37 of 155
Down 0–2, comes back12% 9 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWawrosz6wins
AwayNavedla4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderWawrosz leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWawrosz80%4 of 5
AwayNavedla60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wawrosz5Navedla5n = 10split evenly
S2Wawrosz2Navedla8n = 10Navedla took 8 of 10
S3Wawrosz6Navedla4n = 10Wawrosz took 6 of 10
S4Wawrosz5Navedla3n = 8Wawrosz took 5 of 8
S5Wawrosz3Navedla1n = 4Wawrosz took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricWawroszNavedlaW − NBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.540.2+1.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWawroszNavedlaBasisWin rate · lifetime212 / 417 vs 364 / 76350.8%47.7%212 / 417 vs 364 / 763Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WawroszWawrosz 1.67/Navedla 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57%
Wawrosz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Navedla won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 06:30P. Wawrosz44111111113M. Navedla33813481
LSep 7 · 10:30P. Wawrosz188550M. Navedla331111113
WSep 5 · 07:00P. Wawrosz49881111113M. Navedla4411117692
WSep 4 · 10:30P. Wawrosz43111164113M. Navedla4297111142
WAug 26 · 17:30P. Wawrosz49881111113M. Navedla3611112392
LAug 26 · 15:30P. Wawrosz207850M. Navedla331111113
LAug 24 · 08:30P. Wawrosz591211111692M. Navedla58147818113
WAug 23 · 16:58P. Wawrosz43111011113M. Navedla34512981
LAug 23 · 15:30P. Wawrosz471578171M. Navedla54131111193
WAug 12 · 16:59P. Wawrosz43111011113M. Navedla35812781
P. Wawrosz10
WSep 12 · 08:59J. Pilch1.80481231P. Wawrosz1.91111110113LSep 12 · 08:00P. Wawrosz1.91911981J. Pilch1.8011811113LSep 12 · 07:30L. Velebil2.1011117113P. Wawrosz1.67881141LSep 12 · 06:00P. Wawrosz1.809111191L. Prikasky1.9111136113WSep 11 · 13:30O. Paril1.85881151P. Wawrosz1.8511119113WSep 11 · 12:30P. Wawrosz1.8361211113R. Revay1.831110681WSep 11 · 11:00P. Wawrosz2.0011127113R. Polasek1.739101191LSep 11 · 10:00O. Paril1.804101111113P. Wawrosz1.9111128572LSep 8 · 09:29P. Wawrosz1.73711661R. Polasek2.0011411113WSep 8 · 08:00R. Polasek1.8312881192P. Wawrosz1.831011116113
M. Navedla10
LSep 10 · 13:00M. Navedla2.25111514862J. Pilch1.579171211113WSep 10 · 12:00R. Polasek1.61101340M. Navedla2.201215113LSep 10 · 11:00O. Paril1.44811193123M. Navedla2.631141711102LSep 10 · 10:30M. Navedla2.007460J. Pilch1.731111113WSep 10 · 09:00M. Navedla2.1091111113M. Vavrecka1.67115451LSep 10 · 08:30M. Navedla2.0081090J. Pilch1.731112113WSep 10 · 07:00M. Navedla1.83611128113R. Revay1.83118101182WSep 10 · 06:00M. Vavrecka1.578111131M. Navedla2.2511133113WSep 8 · 08:58J. Pilch1.8091190M. Navedla1.911113113LSep 8 · 08:30J. Pilch1.80811711113M. Navedla1.9111511952
Upcoming Matches
P. Wawrosz2 of 8 neutral
Sep 13 · 15:30P. Wawrosz1.83J. Pilch1.83—Sep 13 · 16:00P. Wawrosz1.83R. Revay1.83—Sep 14 · 06:30P. Wawrosz—R. Polasek——Sep 14 · 07:00P. Wawrosz—M. Vavrecka——Sep 14 · 08:00P. Wawrosz—R. Revay——Sep 14 · 10:00P. Wawrosz—J. Szotkowski——Sep 14 · 11:00P. Wawrosz—R. Polasek——Sep 14 · 12:30P. Wawrosz—M. Vavrecka——
M. Navedla1 of 4 neutral
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.