TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120869
Played Sep 13Finished
Pavel Wawrosz
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711911115811––
Radomir Revay
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadomir Revay to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Wawrosz above · Radomir Revay below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 73 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Radomir Revay at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Wawrosz 20–20 Radomir Revay Dead even across their 40 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:49What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Revay
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-20 in 40
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wawrosz 1763 vs Revay 1864
Revay
Correct
both rated, 101 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wawrosz 20% vs Revay 80%
Revay
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wawrosz 40% vs Revay 80%
Revay
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wawrosz -2 · Revay +3
Revay
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Revay)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Revay form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWawrosz 1.83 / Revay 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Revay)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120869
Wawrosz1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Revay1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWawrosz6wins
AwayRevay4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderWawrosz leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWawrosz62.5%5 of 8
AwayRevayn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wawrosz8Revay2n = 10Wawrosz took 8 of 10
S2Wawrosz5Revay5n = 10split evenly
S3Wawrosz6Revay4n = 10Wawrosz took 6 of 10
S4Wawrosz5Revay4n = 9Wawrosz took 5 of 9
S5Wawrosz1Revay3n = 4Revay took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricWawroszRevayW − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.336.9+3.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWawroszRevayBasisWin rate · lifetime212 / 419 vs 301 / 57750.6%52.2%212 / 419 vs 301 / 577Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RevayWawrosz 1.83/Revay 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Revay · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Revay won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 12:30P. Wawrosz4061211113R. Revay351110681
WSep 4 · 13:30P. Wawrosz331111113R. Revay188460
LSep 4 · 11:30P. Wawrosz4711711992R. Revay43611411113
LSep 2 · 08:58P. Wawrosz50711121282R. Revay541181014113
LSep 2 · 08:30P. Wawrosz4211115782R. Revay43461111113
WAug 12 · 21:30P. Wawrosz3911511123R. Revay315115101
WAug 12 · 20:30P. Wawrosz4011711113R. Revay22111551
WAug 11 · 11:00P. Wawrosz3811115113R. Revay32751191
LAug 6 · 18:30P. Wawrosz22124151R. Revay43101111113
WAug 6 · 14:00P. Wawrosz52119813113R. Revay48811111172
P. Wawrosz10
LSep 13 · 15:30J. Pilch1.8310101211113P. Wawrosz1.83121210222LSep 13 · 14:00P. Wawrosz1.67111151482M. Navedla2.104131112113WSep 12 · 08:59J. Pilch1.80481231P. Wawrosz1.91111110113LSep 12 · 08:00P. Wawrosz1.91911981J. Pilch1.8011811113LSep 12 · 07:30L. Velebil2.1011117113P. Wawrosz1.67881141LSep 12 · 06:00P. Wawrosz1.809111191L. Prikasky1.9111136113WSep 11 · 13:30O. Paril1.85881151P. Wawrosz1.8511119113WSep 11 · 12:30P. Wawrosz1.8361211113R. Revay1.831110681WSep 11 · 11:00P. Wawrosz2.0011127113R. Polasek1.739101191LSep 11 · 10:00O. Paril1.804101111113P. Wawrosz1.9111128572
R. Revay10
WSep 13 · 15:00M. Navedla1.83771151R. Revay1.8311116113WSep 13 · 14:30R. Revay1.441311113J. Pilch2.6311460WSep 11 · 13:00R. Revay2.1061211113R. Polasek1.671110691LSep 11 · 12:30P. Wawrosz1.8361211113R. Revay1.831110681WSep 11 · 11:30R. Revay1.911113109113O. Paril1.80311121162WSep 11 · 10:30R. Polasek1.83101111101R. Revay1.8312913123WSep 10 · 09:30J. Pilch2.384860R. Revay1.531111113WSep 10 · 08:00M. Vavrecka1.739101171R. Revay2.0011126113LSep 10 · 07:00M. Navedla1.83611128113R. Revay1.83118101182WSep 10 · 06:30R. Revay1.501061111113J. Pilch2.5012115942
Upcoming Matches
P. Wawrosz1 of 6 neutral
R. Revay
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