TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13115073
Played Sep 11Finished
Radomir Revay
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
6111210116119––
Radovan Polasek
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
How it is goingRadomir Revay above · Radovan Polasek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 76 set 4, 11-9
76 points played in total.
H2H Radomir Revay 53–67 Radovan Polasek Radomir Revay has won 53 of their 120 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Revay beat Polasek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Polasek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polasek form (0%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRevay 2.10 / Polasek 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Polasek)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13115073
Revay2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog47% won 125 of 266
Down 0–1, comes back30% 44 of 148
Down 0–2, comes back14% 10 of 74
Polasek1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite52% won 196 of 377
Up 2–0, closes it85% 95 of 112
Up 1–0, closes it71% 134 of 189
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRevay4wins
AwayPolasek6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPolasek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRevay66.7%2 of 3
AwayPolasek71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Revay3Polasek7n = 10Polasek took 7 of 10
S2Revay4Polasek6n = 10Polasek took 6 of 10
S3Revay8Polasek2n = 10Revay took 8 of 10
S4Revay3Polasek6n = 9Polasek took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRevayPolasekR − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.740.0−1.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRevayPolasekBasisWin rate · lifetime298 / 574 vs 450 / 88751.9%50.7%298 / 574 vs 450 / 887Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolasekRevay 2.10/Polasek 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Polasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Revay won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 10:30R. Revay—12913123R. Polasek—101111101
LSep 9 · 06:30R. Revay—8711101R. Polasek—11117123
LSep 3 · 06:30R. Revay—6101151R. Polasek—11127113
LSep 2 · 06:00R. Revay—711871R. Polasek—11811113
LAug 29 · 06:30R. Revay—8101181R. Polasek—11128113
LAug 18 · 08:00R. Revay—131111742R. Polasek—159411113
WAug 14 · 13:30R. Revay—1512113R. Polasek—131050
WAug 14 · 11:30R. Revay—101112113R. Polasek—1271061
LJul 30 · 13:29R. Revay—117261R. Polasek—51111113
WJul 30 · 12:30R. Revay—881111113R. Polasek—11114882
R. Revay10
LSep 11 · 12:30P. Wawrosz1.8361211113R. Revay1.831110681WSep 11 · 11:30R. Revay1.911113109113O. Paril1.80311121162WSep 11 · 10:30R. Polasek1.83101111101R. Revay1.8312913123WSep 10 · 09:30J. Pilch2.384860R. Revay1.531111113WSep 10 · 08:00M. Vavrecka1.739101171R. Revay2.0011126113LSep 10 · 07:00M. Navedla1.83611128113R. Revay1.83118101182WSep 10 · 06:30R. Revay1.501061111113J. Pilch2.5012115942WSep 9 · 09:04R. Revay1.921111512123M. Vavrecka1.78491114102LSep 9 · 08:30O. Paril1.73116128123R. Revay2.007111011102WSep 9 · 07:30R. Revay2.0011711113M. Vavrecka1.73711671
R. Polasek10
LSep 11 · 12:00O. Paril1.731111113R. Polasek2.005590LSep 11 · 11:00P. Wawrosz2.0011127113R. Polasek1.739101191LSep 11 · 10:30R. Polasek1.83101111101R. Revay1.8312913123LSep 10 · 16:59R. Polasek2.20611431M. Biolek1.6111911113LSep 10 · 16:30T. Dousek1.83711911113R. Polasek1.8311411642LSep 10 · 15:30R. Polasek2.20311111152M. Biolek1.61118137113WSep 10 · 14:30M. Cabis1.831111106102R. Polasek1.83561211123WSep 10 · 13:30O. Paril1.738470R. Polasek2.001111113LSep 10 · 12:00R. Polasek1.61101340M. Navedla2.201215113WSep 10 · 11:30J. Pilch2.251151381R. Polasek1.5741115113
Upcoming Matches
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R. Polasek
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