TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13108748
Played Sep 11Finished
Radomir Revay
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11313111012911116
Ondrej Paril
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:09 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeOndrej Paril to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadomir Revay above · Ondrej Paril below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 97 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Ondrej Paril at 56.7%
97 points played in total.
H2H Radomir Revay 18–24 Ondrej Paril Radomir Revay has won 18 of their 42 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:09What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Paril
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-24 in 42
Paril
Wrong
gap of 6 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Revay 1843 vs Paril 1877
Paril
Wrong
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Revay 80% vs Paril 60%
Revay
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Revay 60% vs Paril 80%
Paril
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Revay +3 · Paril +1
Revay
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Paril) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Revay form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRevay 1.91 / Paril 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Paril)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13108748
Revay1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 125 of 266
Down 0–1, comes back30% 44 of 148
Down 0–2, comes back14% 10 of 74
Paril1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 187 of 337
Up 2–0, closes it91% 85 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it76% 141 of 185
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRevay5wins
AwayParil5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRevay62.5%5 of 8
AwayPariln = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Revay8Paril2n = 10Revay took 8 of 10
S2Revay5Paril5n = 10split evenly
S3Revay5Paril5n = 10split evenly
S4Revay3Paril5n = 8Paril took 5 of 8
S5Revay1Paril2n = 3Paril took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRevayParilR − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.738.8+1.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRevayParilBasisWin rate · lifetime297 / 572 vs 506 / 97251.9%52.1%297 / 572 vs 506 / 972Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ParilRevay 1.91/Paril 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Paril · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Revay won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 19:30R. Revay—159116112O. Paril—1311811133
WAug 27 · 10:30R. Revay—1115113O. Paril—91320
LAug 18 · 09:00R. Revay—1111761O. Paril—13811113
WAug 18 · 07:30R. Revay—12711113O. Paril—1011881
WAug 12 · 19:00R. Revay—1111113O. Paril—5700
LAug 11 · 06:00R. Revay—117121142O. Paril—511149113
WAug 4 · 11:00R. Revay—11111013113O. Paril—68121562
LAug 3 · 21:30R. Revay—124971O. Paril—101111113
WAug 3 · 19:30R. Revay—11137113O. Paril—6111181
LJul 23 · 08:00R. Revay—1171151O. Paril—13115113
R. Revay10
WSep 11 · 13:00R. Revay2.1061211113R. Polasek1.671110691LSep 11 · 12:30P. Wawrosz1.8361211113R. Revay1.831110681WSep 11 · 10:30R. Polasek1.83101111101R. Revay1.8312913123WSep 10 · 09:30J. Pilch2.384860R. Revay1.531111113WSep 10 · 08:00M. Vavrecka1.739101171R. Revay2.0011126113LSep 10 · 07:00M. Navedla1.83611128113R. Revay1.83118101182WSep 10 · 06:30R. Revay1.501061111113J. Pilch2.5012115942WSep 9 · 09:04R. Revay1.921111512123M. Vavrecka1.78491114102LSep 9 · 08:30O. Paril1.73116128123R. Revay2.007111011102WSep 9 · 07:30R. Revay2.0011711113M. Vavrecka1.73711671
O. Paril10
LSep 11 · 13:30O. Paril1.85881151P. Wawrosz1.8511119113WSep 11 · 12:00O. Paril1.731111113R. Polasek2.005590WSep 11 · 10:00O. Paril1.804101111113P. Wawrosz1.9111128572LSep 10 · 13:30O. Paril1.738470R. Polasek2.001111113WSep 10 · 12:30O. Paril1.73111110113J. Pilch2.00251261WSep 10 · 11:00O. Paril1.44811193123M. Navedla2.631141711102LSep 10 · 10:00R. Polasek1.8311118113O. Paril1.83981191WSep 9 · 09:30O. Paril1.80111110113R. Polasek1.90891281WSep 9 · 08:30O. Paril1.73116128123R. Revay2.007111011102WSep 9 · 07:00O. Paril1.80711112113R. Polasek1.9111781192
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