TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13108418
Played Sep 11Finished
Radovan Polasek
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
101211911131012––
Radomir Revay
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadovan Polasek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadovan Polasek above · Radomir Revay below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 88 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Radovan Polasek at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Radovan Polasek 67–52 Radomir Revay Radomir Revay has won 52 of their 119 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:05What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Revay
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
67-52 in 119
Polasek
Wrong
gap of 15 in 119, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Polasek 1850 vs Revay 1831
Polasek
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polasek 40% vs Revay 80%
Revay
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polasek 50% vs Revay 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Polasek -3 · Revay +2
Polasek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Polasek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Revay form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolasek 1.83 / Revay 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Polasek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13108418
Polasek1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Revay1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePolasek6wins
AwayRevay4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPolasek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePolasek62.5%5 of 8
AwayRevayn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polasek8Revay2n = 10Polasek took 8 of 10
S2Polasek5Revay5n = 10split evenly
S3Polasek2Revay8n = 10Revay took 8 of 10
S4Polasek7Revay2n = 9Polasek took 7 of 9
S5Polasek1Revay2n = 3Revay took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPolasekRevayP − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.739.1+1.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolasekRevayBasisWin rate · lifetime450 / 884 vs 296 / 57150.9%51.8%450 / 884 vs 296 / 571Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolasekPolasek 1.83/Revay 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Polasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Revay won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 06:30R. Polasek—11117123R. Revay—8711101
WSep 3 · 06:30R. Polasek—11127113R. Revay—6101151
WSep 2 · 06:00R. Polasek—11811113R. Revay—711871
WAug 29 · 06:30R. Polasek—11128113R. Revay—8101181
WAug 18 · 08:00R. Polasek—159411113R. Revay—131111742
LAug 14 · 13:30R. Polasek—131050R. Revay—1512113
LAug 14 · 11:30R. Polasek—1271061R. Revay—101112113
WJul 30 · 13:29R. Polasek—51111113R. Revay—117261
LJul 30 · 12:30R. Polasek—11114882R. Revay—881111113
LJul 16 · 10:30R. Polasek—111091182R. Revay—712119113
R. Polasek10
LSep 11 · 13:00R. Revay2.1061211113R. Polasek1.671110691LSep 11 · 12:00O. Paril1.731111113R. Polasek2.005590LSep 11 · 11:00P. Wawrosz2.0011127113R. Polasek1.739101191LSep 10 · 16:59R. Polasek2.20611431M. Biolek1.6111911113LSep 10 · 16:30T. Dousek1.83711911113R. Polasek1.8311411642LSep 10 · 15:30R. Polasek2.20311111152M. Biolek1.61118137113WSep 10 · 14:30M. Cabis1.831111106102R. Polasek1.83561211123WSep 10 · 13:30O. Paril1.738470R. Polasek2.001111113LSep 10 · 12:00R. Polasek1.61101340M. Navedla2.201215113WSep 10 · 11:30J. Pilch2.251151381R. Polasek1.5741115113
R. Revay10
WSep 11 · 13:00R. Revay2.1061211113R. Polasek1.671110691LSep 11 · 12:30P. Wawrosz1.8361211113R. Revay1.831110681WSep 11 · 11:30R. Revay1.911113109113O. Paril1.80311121162WSep 10 · 09:30J. Pilch2.384860R. Revay1.531111113WSep 10 · 08:00M. Vavrecka1.739101171R. Revay2.0011126113LSep 10 · 07:00M. Navedla1.83611128113R. Revay1.83118101182WSep 10 · 06:30R. Revay1.501061111113J. Pilch2.5012115942WSep 9 · 09:04R. Revay1.921111512123M. Vavrecka1.78491114102LSep 9 · 08:30O. Paril1.73116128123R. Revay2.007111011102WSep 9 · 07:30R. Revay2.0011711113M. Vavrecka1.73711671
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