TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13108745
Played Sep 11Finished
Ondrej Paril
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115115119––––
Radovan Polasek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:08 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeOndrej Paril to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Paril above · Radovan Polasek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 52 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Ondrej Paril at 58.9%
52 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Paril 45–39 Radovan Polasek Radovan Polasek has won 39 of their 84 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:08What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Paril
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
45-39 in 84
Paril
Correct
gap of 6 in 84, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Paril 1875 vs Polasek 1824
Paril
Correct
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Paril 60% vs Polasek 0%
Paril
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Paril 70% vs Polasek 40%
Paril
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Paril -1 · Polasek -5
Polasek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Paril) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polasek form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsParil 1.73 / Polasek 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Paril)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13108745
Paril1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 187 of 337
Up 2–0, closes it91% 85 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it76% 141 of 185
Polasek2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog51% won 175 of 345
Down 0–1, comes back30% 51 of 172
Down 0–2, comes back12% 10 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeParil6wins
AwayPolasek4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderParil leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeParil75%3 of 4
AwayPolasek50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Paril4Polasek6n = 10Polasek took 6 of 10
S2Paril5Polasek5n = 10split evenly
S3Paril5Polasek5n = 10split evenly
S4Paril4Polasek4n = 8split evenly
S5Paril3Polasek1n = 4Paril took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricParilPolasekParil − PolasekBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.440.1−1.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricParilPolasekBasisWin rate · lifetime506 / 973 vs 450 / 88652%50.8%506 / 973 vs 450 / 886Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ParilParil 1.73/Polasek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Paril · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Paril won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 13:30O. Paril—8470R. Polasek—1111113
LSep 10 · 10:00O. Paril—981191R. Polasek—11118113
WSep 9 · 09:30O. Paril—111110113R. Polasek—891281
WSep 9 · 07:00O. Paril—711112113R. Polasek—11781192
WSep 4 · 10:30O. Paril—1111118113R. Polasek—13991172
LSep 4 · 09:30O. Paril—7560R. Polasek—1111113
WSep 4 · 07:30O. Paril—11911113R. Polasek—411861
LAug 30 · 09:30O. Paril—111111362R. Polasek—591311113
WAug 30 · 06:30O. Paril—1011711113R. Polasek—12711982
WAug 28 · 10:00O. Paril—12511113R. Polasek—1011971
O. Paril10
LSep 11 · 13:30O. Paril1.85881151P. Wawrosz1.8511119113LSep 11 · 11:30R. Revay1.911113109113O. Paril1.80311121162WSep 11 · 10:00O. Paril1.804101111113P. Wawrosz1.9111128572LSep 10 · 13:30O. Paril1.738470R. Polasek2.001111113WSep 10 · 12:30O. Paril1.73111110113J. Pilch2.00251261WSep 10 · 11:00O. Paril1.44811193123M. Navedla2.631141711102LSep 10 · 10:00R. Polasek1.8311118113O. Paril1.83981191WSep 9 · 09:30O. Paril1.80111110113R. Polasek1.90891281WSep 9 · 08:30O. Paril1.73116128123R. Revay2.007111011102WSep 9 · 07:00O. Paril1.80711112113R. Polasek1.9111781192
R. Polasek10
LSep 11 · 13:00R. Revay2.1061211113R. Polasek1.671110691LSep 11 · 11:00P. Wawrosz2.0011127113R. Polasek1.739101191LSep 11 · 10:30R. Polasek1.83101111101R. Revay1.8312913123LSep 10 · 16:59R. Polasek2.20611431M. Biolek1.6111911113LSep 10 · 16:30T. Dousek1.83711911113R. Polasek1.8311411642LSep 10 · 15:30R. Polasek2.20311111152M. Biolek1.61118137113WSep 10 · 13:30O. Paril1.738470R. Polasek2.001111113WSep 10 · 10:00R. Polasek1.8311118113O. Paril1.83981191LSep 9 · 09:30O. Paril1.80111110113R. Polasek1.90891281LSep 9 · 07:00O. Paril1.80711112113R. Polasek1.9111781192
Upcoming Matches
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R. Polasek
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