TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120300
Played Sep 13Finished
Matyas Navedla
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711711116511––
Radomir Revay
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:44 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadomir Revay to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMatyas Navedla above · Radomir Revay below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 4-4
Point 61 set 4, 4-4 — our read held Radomir Revay at 54.0%
61 points drawn · the score is 8 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Matyas Navedla 17–15 Radomir Revay Radomir Revay has won 15 of their 32 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 13:44What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Revay
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-15 in 32
Navedla
Wrong
gap of 2 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Navedla 1768 vs Revay 1855
Revay
Correct
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Navedla 40% vs Revay 80%
Revay
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Navedla 60% vs Revay 80%
Revay
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Navedla +1 · Revay +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Revay)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Revay form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNavedla 1.83 / Revay 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Revay)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120300
Navedla1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Revay1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNavedla7wins
AwayRevay3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderNavedla leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNavedla50%3 of 6
AwayRevay0%0 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Navedla6Revay4n = 10Navedla took 6 of 10
S2Navedla8Revay2n = 10Navedla took 8 of 10
S3Navedla6Revay4n = 10Navedla took 6 of 10
S4Navedla2Revay5n = 7Revay took 5 of 7
S5Navedla3Revay1n = 4Navedla took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricNavedlaRevayN − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.037.4+1.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNavedlaRevayBasisWin rate · lifetime365 / 764 vs 300 / 57647.8%52.1%365 / 764 vs 300 / 576Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RevayNavedla 1.83/Revay 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Revay · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Revay won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 07:00M. Navedla48611128113R. Revay48118101182
LSep 4 · 12:00M. Navedla361186111R. Revay4381111133
LAug 14 · 12:30M. Navedla3811122492R. Revay474101111113
WAug 11 · 10:30M. Navedla331111113R. Revay218670
WAug 11 · 08:30M. Navedla351111133R. Revay2797110
WAug 5 · 06:00M. Navedla46811115113R. Revay3911841152
WJul 23 · 09:00M. Navedla331111113R. Revay249780
WJul 23 · 07:30M. Navedla4041111143R. Revay381196121
WJul 6 · 08:58M. Navedla50911613113R. Revay44116111152
LJul 6 · 06:30M. Navedla31125681R. Revay43101111113
M. Navedla10
WSep 13 · 14:00P. Wawrosz1.67111151482M. Navedla2.104131112113LSep 10 · 13:00M. Navedla2.25111514862J. Pilch1.579171211113WSep 10 · 12:00R. Polasek1.61101340M. Navedla2.201215113LSep 10 · 11:00O. Paril1.44811193123M. Navedla2.631141711102LSep 10 · 10:30M. Navedla2.007460J. Pilch1.731111113WSep 10 · 09:00M. Navedla2.1091111113M. Vavrecka1.67115451LSep 10 · 08:30M. Navedla2.0081090J. Pilch1.731112113WSep 10 · 07:00M. Navedla1.83611128113R. Revay1.83118101182WSep 10 · 06:00M. Vavrecka1.578111131M. Navedla2.2511133113WSep 8 · 08:58J. Pilch1.8091190M. Navedla1.911113113
R. Revay10
WSep 13 · 14:30R. Revay1.441311113J. Pilch2.6311460WSep 11 · 13:00R. Revay2.1061211113R. Polasek1.671110691LSep 11 · 12:30P. Wawrosz1.8361211113R. Revay1.831110681WSep 11 · 11:30R. Revay1.911113109113O. Paril1.80311121162WSep 11 · 10:30R. Polasek1.83101111101R. Revay1.8312913123WSep 10 · 09:30J. Pilch2.384860R. Revay1.531111113WSep 10 · 08:00M. Vavrecka1.739101171R. Revay2.0011126113LSep 10 · 07:00M. Navedla1.83611128113R. Revay1.83118101182WSep 10 · 06:30R. Revay1.501061111113J. Pilch2.5012115942WSep 9 · 09:04R. Revay1.921111512123M. Vavrecka1.78491114102
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