TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13125035
Played Sep 14Finished
Libor Prikasky
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111210411511––
Matyas Navedla
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLibor Prikasky to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLibor Prikasky above · Matyas Navedla below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 70 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Libor Prikasky at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Libor Prikasky 10–20 Matyas Navedla Libor Prikasky has won 10 of their 30 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:09What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Navedla
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-20 in 30
Navedla
Correct
gap of 10 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prikasky 1796 vs Navedla 1748
Prikasky
Wrong
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prikasky 80% vs Navedla 20%
Prikasky
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prikasky 50% vs Navedla 30%
Prikasky
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prikasky +1 · Navedla -4
Navedla
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Prikasky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Navedla form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrikasky 1.91 / Navedla 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Prikasky)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13125035
Prikasky1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 82 of 184
Down 0–1, comes back24% 24 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 56
Navedla1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 42 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it90% 26 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it64% 28 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrikasky5wins
AwayNavedla5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrikaskyn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayNavedla55.6%5 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prikasky1Navedla9n = 10Navedla took 9 of 10
S2Prikasky7Navedla3n = 10Prikasky took 7 of 10
S3Prikasky3Navedla7n = 10Navedla took 7 of 10
S4Prikasky3Navedla3n = 6split evenly
S5Prikasky4Navedla1n = 5Prikasky took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrikaskyNavedlaP − NBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match36.738.0−1.3per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrikaskyNavedlaBasisWin rate · lifetime254 / 454 vs 365 / 76856%47.5%254 / 454 vs 365 / 768Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrikaskyPrikasky 1.91/Navedla 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Prikasky · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Navedla won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 09:00L. Prikasky356111171M. Navedla4311813113
LSep 5 · 06:30L. Prikasky4791351192M. Navedla521111118113
WSep 4 · 14:30L. Prikasky461111011133M. Navedla44116124112
WSep 4 · 13:00L. Prikasky529111110113M. Navedla4011751252
WSep 4 · 11:00L. Prikasky45511117113M. Navedla4111761162
LAug 26 · 14:30L. Prikasky238690M. Navedla331111113
WAug 26 · 12:58L. Prikasky331111113M. Navedla206860
LAug 26 · 11:30L. Prikasky1931060M. Navedla341112113
WAug 10 · 07:00L. Prikasky43211811113M. Navedla3911511842
LJul 8 · 17:00L. Prikasky2486100M. Navedla341111123
L. Prikasky10
WSep 14 · 18:30T. Dousek1.73811111082L. Prikasky2.00113912113LSep 12 · 09:30L. Prikasky1.9171191112L. Velebil1.80117116113WSep 12 · 08:30L. Prikasky2.1011811113L. Velebil1.67711971WSep 12 · 07:00L. Prikasky1.9181112113J. Pilch1.801191061WSep 12 · 06:00P. Wawrosz1.809111191L. Prikasky1.9111136113WSep 9 · 17:00M. Skotnica1.61101111852L. Prikasky2.20129611113LSep 9 · 16:30L. Prikasky2.0391350R. Polasek1.621115113LSep 9 · 15:00L. Prikasky1.83541381M. Grundel1.83111111113LSep 9 · 14:00M. Skotnica1.618111110113L. Prikasky2.2011561252LSep 5 · 09:00M. Navedla1.8311813113L. Prikasky1.836111171
M. Navedla10
LSep 14 · 18:00M. Navedla1.8357111152R. Niezgoda1.83111188113LSep 13 · 17:02M. Navedla1.83741191P. Wawrosz1.8311115113LSep 13 · 16:30M. Navedla2.005117101J. Pilch1.7311811123LSep 13 · 15:00M. Navedla1.83771151R. Revay1.8311116113WSep 13 · 14:00P. Wawrosz1.67111151482M. Navedla2.104131112113LSep 10 · 13:00M. Navedla2.25111514862J. Pilch1.579171211113WSep 10 · 12:00R. Polasek1.61101340M. Navedla2.201215113LSep 10 · 11:00O. Paril1.44811193123M. Navedla2.631141711102LSep 10 · 10:30M. Navedla2.007460J. Pilch1.731111113WSep 5 · 09:00M. Navedla1.8311813113L. Prikasky1.836111171
Upcoming Matches
L. Prikasky
M. Navedla
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