TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13124448
Played Sep 14Finished
Tomas Dousek
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111131191012811
Libor Prikasky
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:30 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Dousek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Dousek above · Libor Prikasky below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 94 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Tomas Dousek at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Dousek 3–3 Libor Prikasky Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:30What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Dousek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dousek 1904 vs Prikasky 1782
Dousek
Wrong
both rated, 122 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dousek 80% vs Prikasky 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dousek 70% vs Prikasky 50%
Dousek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dousek +1 · Prikasky -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Dousek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prikasky form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDousek 1.73 / Prikasky 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Dousek)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13124448
Dousek1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 104 of 191
Up 2–0, closes it91% 49 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it75% 82 of 109
Prikasky2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 82 of 184
Down 0–1, comes back24% 24 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeDousek3wins
AwayPrikasky3wins
3 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDousekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayPrikasky60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dousek1Prikasky5n = 6Prikasky took 5 of 6
S2Dousek5Prikasky1n = 6Dousek took 5 of 6
S3Dousek4Prikasky2n = 6Dousek took 4 of 6
S4Dousek3Prikasky2n = 5Dousek took 3 of 5
S5Dousek1Prikasky2n = 3Prikasky took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricDousekPrikaskyD − PBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match42.737.3+5.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDousekPrikaskyBasisWin rate · lifetime244 / 459 vs 253 / 45353.2%55.9%244 / 459 vs 253 / 453Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.337.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DousekDousek 1.73/Prikasky 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Dousek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Prikasky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 26 · 10:00T. Dousek524111610113L. Prikasky46111141282
LAug 16 · 12:59T. Dousek3641011111L. Prikasky4011124133
WAug 16 · 10:00T. Dousek331111113L. Prikasky189360
LMay 27 · 15:30T. Dousek49611141172L. Prikasky52116168113
WMay 25 · 10:00T. Dousek4291111113L. Prikasky25115631
LMay 24 · 10:30T. Dousek4471171182L. Prikasky43111119113
T. Dousek10
WSep 13 · 21:00T. Dousek2.0013611113D. Opanasiuk1.731111751LSep 13 · 20:30J. Dzida1.401111123T. Dousek2.7558100WSep 13 · 19:30T. Dousek2.00111179113D. Opanasiuk1.7386111162WSep 13 · 18:30M. Biolek1.5011911952T. Dousek2.50711811113WSep 10 · 17:30T. Dousek1.851114113M. Cabis1.8581270WSep 10 · 16:30T. Dousek1.83711911113R. Polasek1.8311411642WSep 10 · 15:00T. Dousek1.835121112143M. Cabis1.831110614122WSep 10 · 14:00M. Biolek1.50691361T. Dousek2.50111111113LSep 7 · 21:00T. Dousek1.7310990O. Paril2.001211113LSep 7 · 20:30M. Vavrecka2.00101111113T. Dousek1.73129491
L. Prikasky10
LSep 12 · 09:30L. Prikasky1.9171191112L. Velebil1.80117116113WSep 12 · 08:30L. Prikasky2.1011811113L. Velebil1.67711971WSep 12 · 07:00L. Prikasky1.9181112113J. Pilch1.801191061WSep 12 · 06:00P. Wawrosz1.809111191L. Prikasky1.9111136113WSep 9 · 17:00M. Skotnica1.61101111852L. Prikasky2.20129611113LSep 9 · 16:30L. Prikasky2.0391350R. Polasek1.621115113LSep 9 · 15:00L. Prikasky1.83541381M. Grundel1.83111111113LSep 9 · 14:00M. Skotnica1.618111110113L. Prikasky2.2011561252LSep 5 · 09:00M. Navedla1.8311813113L. Prikasky1.836111171WSep 5 · 08:30P. Wawrosz1.73771161L. Prikasky2.0011115113
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