TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120882
Played Sep 13Finished
Tomas Dousek
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118116711911116
Dmytro Opanasiuk
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:48 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeDmytro Opanasiuk to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Dousek above · Dmytro Opanasiuk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 91 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Dmytro Opanasiuk at 56.6%
91 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Dousek 2–1 Dmytro Opanasiuk Dmytro Opanasiuk has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:48What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Opanasiuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dousek 1880 vs Opanasiuk 1923
Opanasiuk
Wrong
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dousek 100% vs Opanasiuk 40%
Dousek
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dousek 60% vs Opanasiuk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dousek +5 · Opanasiuk -2
Dousek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Opanasiuk) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Opanasiuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDousek 2.00 / Opanasiuk 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Opanasiuk)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120882
Dousek2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 31 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back32% 14 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Opanasiuk1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 78 of 151
Up 2–0, closes it91% 39 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it69% 50 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeDousek2wins
AwayOpanasiuk1wins
3 of 3 to a deciderDousek leads 2–1, and 3 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dousek2Opanasiuk1n = 3Dousek took 2 of 3
S2Dousek1Opanasiuk2n = 3Opanasiuk took 2 of 3
S3Dousek2Opanasiuk1n = 3Dousek took 2 of 3
S4Dousek1Opanasiuk2n = 3Opanasiuk took 2 of 3
S5Dousek2Opanasiuk1n = 3Dousek took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home267%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricDousekOpanasiukD − OBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match46.346.0+0.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDousekOpanasiukBasisWin rate · lifetime242 / 456 vs 141 / 26453.1%53.4%242 / 456 vs 141 / 264Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OpanasiukDousek 2.00/Opanasiuk 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Opanasiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Dousek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 7 · 18:30T. Dousek4712612892D. Opanasiuk5310111011113
WJun 21 · 13:30T. Dousek40111143113D. Opanasiuk3763111162
WJun 21 · 12:00T. Dousek526131111113D. Opanasiuk4811158592
T. Dousek10
WSep 13 · 18:30M. Biolek1.5011911952T. Dousek2.50711811113WSep 10 · 17:30T. Dousek1.851114113M. Cabis1.8581270WSep 10 · 16:30T. Dousek1.83711911113R. Polasek1.8311411642WSep 10 · 15:00T. Dousek1.835121112143M. Cabis1.831110614122WSep 10 · 14:00M. Biolek1.50691361T. Dousek2.50111111113LSep 7 · 21:00T. Dousek1.7310990O. Paril2.001211113LSep 7 · 20:30M. Vavrecka2.00101111113T. Dousek1.73129491WSep 7 · 19:30T. Dousek1.80111179113O. Paril1.9159111162LSep 7 · 18:30D. Opanasiuk1.8010111011113T. Dousek1.9112612892LSep 7 · 13:30M. Navedla2.1071111113T. Dousek1.67116841
D. Opanasiuk10
LSep 13 · 20:00D. Opanasiuk1.83711861M. Biolek1.8311911113LSep 13 · 18:00D. Opanasiuk1.7311911862J. Dzida2.00611911113LSep 12 · 21:29M. Cabis2.101111113D. Opanasiuk1.679580WSep 12 · 20:00D. Opanasiuk1.7311129113J. Dzida2.005101181WSep 12 · 19:30R. Polasek2.38115571D. Opanasiuk1.5391111113LSep 12 · 18:00D. Opanasiuk1.61711801M. Cabis2.20111116113WSep 7 · 21:30M. Vavrecka2.356760D. Opanasiuk1.521111113WSep 7 · 20:00O. Paril2.75761171D. Opanasiuk1.4011118113LSep 7 · 19:00M. Vavrecka2.25119118113D. Opanasiuk1.5781191182WSep 7 · 18:30D. Opanasiuk1.8010111011113T. Dousek1.9112612892
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