TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13119449
Played Sep 13Finished
Martin Biolek
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117911118911511
Tomas Dousek
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:42 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Biolek to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Biolek above · Tomas Dousek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 93 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Martin Biolek at 57.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Martin Biolek 11–4 Tomas Dousek Tomas Dousek has won 4 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:42What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Biolek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-4 in 15
Biolek
Wrong
gap of 7 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Biolek 1943 vs Dousek 1868
Biolek
Wrong
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Biolek 60% vs Dousek 80%
Dousek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Biolek 50% vs Dousek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Biolek +1 · Dousek +4
Dousek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Biolek) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dousek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBiolek 1.50 / Dousek 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Biolek)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13119449
Biolek1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 104 of 198
Up 2–0, closes it89% 50 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it71% 75 of 106
Dousek2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 31 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back32% 14 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBiolek8wins
AwayDousek2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderBiolek leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBiolek83.3%5 of 6
AwayDousek25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Biolek6Dousek4n = 10Biolek took 6 of 10
S2Biolek7Dousek3n = 10Biolek took 7 of 10
S3Biolek5Dousek5n = 10split evenly
S4Biolek3Dousek4n = 7Dousek took 4 of 7
S5Biolek5Dousek0n = 5Biolek took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBiolekDousekB − DBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.636.7+4.9per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBiolekDousekBasisWin rate · lifetime222 / 400 vs 241 / 45555.5%53%222 / 400 vs 241 / 455Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.039.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BiolekBiolek 1.50/Dousek 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.9%
Biolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dousek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 14:00M. Biolek34691361T. Dousek44111111113
WSep 5 · 16:00M. Biolek48711811113T. Dousek4311911842
WAug 17 · 14:00M. Biolek491211411113T. Dousek4214611922
WJul 14 · 14:00M. Biolek331111113T. Dousek145450
WJul 12 · 13:00M. Biolek341111123T. Dousek2798100
WJul 12 · 11:00M. Biolek506111111113T. Dousek4911991372
WJul 7 · 15:00M. Biolek331111113T. Dousek186750
LJul 5 · 17:30M. Biolek331110571T. Dousek3951211113
WJul 5 · 16:00M. Biolek54121489113T. Dousek481012111142
WJun 29 · 17:30M. Biolek48118711113T. Dousek4361111692
M. Biolek10
WSep 13 · 20:00D. Opanasiuk1.83711861M. Biolek1.8311911113WSep 13 · 19:00J. Dzida1.80211891M. Biolek1.9111711113WSep 10 · 16:59R. Polasek2.20611431M. Biolek1.6111911113LSep 10 · 16:00M. Biolek1.61951181M. Cabis2.2011116113WSep 10 · 15:30R. Polasek2.20311111152M. Biolek1.61118137113LSep 10 · 14:00M. Biolek1.50691361T. Dousek2.50111111113WSep 6 · 20:58M. Biolek1.801211113O. Paril1.9110950WSep 6 · 20:00M. Biolek1.7311128113O. Paril2.007101181LSep 6 · 19:30J. Dzida1.8011118113M. Biolek1.91991151LSep 6 · 18:00M. Biolek1.8371271122D. Opanasiuk1.831110115113
T. Dousek10
WSep 13 · 19:30T. Dousek2.00111179113D. Opanasiuk1.7386111162WSep 10 · 17:30T. Dousek1.851114113M. Cabis1.8581270WSep 10 · 16:30T. Dousek1.83711911113R. Polasek1.8311411642WSep 10 · 15:00T. Dousek1.835121112143M. Cabis1.831110614122WSep 10 · 14:00M. Biolek1.50691361T. Dousek2.50111111113LSep 7 · 21:00T. Dousek1.7310990O. Paril2.001211113LSep 7 · 20:30M. Vavrecka2.00101111113T. Dousek1.73129491WSep 7 · 19:30T. Dousek1.80111179113O. Paril1.9159111162LSep 7 · 18:30D. Opanasiuk1.8010111011113T. Dousek1.9112612892LSep 7 · 13:30M. Navedla2.1071111113T. Dousek1.67116841
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