TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13122045
Played Sep 12Finished
Michal Cabis
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119115118––––
Dmytro Opanasiuk
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingMichal Cabis above · Dmytro Opanasiuk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 55 set 3, 11-8
55 points played in total.
H2H Michal Cabis 5–3 Dmytro Opanasiuk Dmytro Opanasiuk has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Cabis beat Opanasiuk 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Opanasiuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Opanasiuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCabis 2.10 / Opanasiuk 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Opanasiuk)+3.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13122045
Cabis2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog48% won 86 of 179
Down 0–1, comes back32% 31 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 44
Opanasiuk1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 86 of 161
Up 2–0, closes it89% 41 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it70% 53 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeCabis5wins
AwayOpanasiuk3wins
1 of 8 to a deciderCabis leads 5–3, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCabis100%3 of 3
AwayOpanasiuk60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cabis3Opanasiuk5n = 8Opanasiuk took 5 of 8
S2Cabis4Opanasiuk4n = 8split evenly
S3Cabis5Opanasiuk3n = 8Cabis took 5 of 8
S4Cabis6Opanasiuk1n = 7Cabis took 6 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home563%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricCabisOpanasiukC − OBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match38.935.5+3.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCabisOpanasiukBasisWin rate · lifetime369 / 703 vs 141 / 26252.5%53.8%369 / 703 vs 141 / 262Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OpanasiukCabis 2.10/Opanasiuk 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.8%
Opanasiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Cabis won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 12 · 18:00M. Cabis49111116113D. Opanasiuk26711801
WAug 23 · 21:30M. Cabis45121111113D. Opanasiuk31141881
LAug 23 · 18:00M. Cabis4494111192D. Opanasiuk44111147113
WAug 9 · 20:00M. Cabis4991114153D. Opanasiuk4211612131
WJun 25 · 14:00M. Cabis4211119113D. Opanasiuk34961181
LJun 24 · 10:00M. Cabis182880D. Opanasiuk331111113
WJun 1 · 18:30M. Cabis3611311113D. Opanasiuk31711581
LMay 31 · 08:30M. Cabis284101131D. Opanasiuk4311129113
M. Cabis10
WSep 12 · 20:30M. Cabis1.83111110113R. Polasek1.83581281LSep 12 · 19:00M. Cabis2.3812671172J. Dzida1.531011119113WSep 12 · 18:00D. Opanasiuk1.61711801M. Cabis2.20111116113LSep 10 · 17:30T. Dousek1.851114113M. Cabis1.8581270WSep 10 · 16:00M. Biolek1.61951181M. Cabis2.2011116113LSep 10 · 15:00T. Dousek1.835121112143M. Cabis1.831110614122LSep 10 · 14:30M. Cabis1.831111106102R. Polasek1.83561211123WSep 5 · 13:03M. Cabis1.5571211113T. Zika2.301110831LSep 5 · 12:30M. Cabis1.6151113872O. Paril2.201151111113WSep 5 · 11:00M. Cabis1.6111811113T. Zika2.20611931
D. Opanasiuk10
WSep 12 · 20:00D. Opanasiuk1.7311129113J. Dzida2.005101181WSep 12 · 19:30R. Polasek2.38115571D. Opanasiuk1.5391111113LSep 12 · 18:00D. Opanasiuk1.61711801M. Cabis2.20111116113WSep 7 · 21:30M. Vavrecka2.356760D. Opanasiuk1.521111113WSep 7 · 20:00O. Paril2.75761171D. Opanasiuk1.4011118113LSep 7 · 19:00M. Vavrecka2.25119118113D. Opanasiuk1.5781191182WSep 7 · 18:30D. Opanasiuk1.8010111011113T. Dousek1.9112612892LSep 6 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk1.6411621582J. Dzida2.019111911113WSep 6 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk1.8081212113J. Dzida1.9111101081WSep 6 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk1.4471113133O. Paril2.6311411111
Upcoming Matches
M. Cabis
Nothing scheduled
D. Opanasiuk
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