TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13114404
Played Sep 12Finished
Michal Cabis
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1151181012118––
Radovan Polasek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadovan Polasek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Cabis above · Radovan Polasek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 76 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Radovan Polasek at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Michal Cabis 30–36 Radovan Polasek Michal Cabis has won 30 of their 66 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:33What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Polasek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-36 in 66
Polasek
Wrong
gap of 6 in 66, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cabis 1830 vs Polasek 1783
Cabis
Correct
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cabis 40% vs Polasek 0%
Cabis
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cabis 40% vs Polasek 10%
Cabis
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cabis -1 · Polasek -5
Polasek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Cabis) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polasek form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCabis 1.83 / Polasek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Cabis)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13114404
Cabis1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Polasek1.83
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCabis4wins
AwayPolasek6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPolasek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCabis66.7%4 of 6
AwayPolasek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cabis6Polasek4n = 10Cabis took 6 of 10
S2Cabis5Polasek5n = 10split evenly
S3Cabis5Polasek5n = 10split evenly
S4Cabis1Polasek5n = 6Polasek took 5 of 6
S5Cabis1Polasek2n = 3Polasek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricCabisPolasekC − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.139.9−2.8per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCabisPolasekBasisWin rate · lifetime368 / 702 vs 450 / 89052.4%50.6%368 / 702 vs 450 / 890Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CabisCabis 1.83/Polasek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Cabis · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Cabis won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 09:28M. Cabis331111113R. Polasek226970
LAug 31 · 06:30M. Cabis31711671R. Polasek4011711113
LAug 30 · 07:30M. Cabis345101271R. Polasek44111210113
LAug 29 · 09:30M. Cabis36159120R. Polasek421711143
WAug 29 · 07:30M. Cabis371211143R. Polasek31109120
LAug 28 · 13:00M. Cabis166640R. Polasek331111113
WAug 28 · 11:00M. Cabis44121110113R. Polasek391091281
WAug 9 · 10:00M. Cabis48116115153R. Polasek47711511132
LAug 1 · 12:00M. Cabis4611911962R. Polasek46511811113
LJul 30 · 10:30M. Cabis46141111732R. Polasek551281311113
M. Cabis10
LSep 12 · 19:00M. Cabis2.3812671172J. Dzida1.531011119113WSep 12 · 18:00D. Opanasiuk1.61711801M. Cabis2.20111116113LSep 10 · 17:30T. Dousek1.851114113M. Cabis1.8581270WSep 10 · 16:00M. Biolek1.61951181M. Cabis2.2011116113LSep 10 · 15:00T. Dousek1.835121112143M. Cabis1.831110614122LSep 10 · 14:30M. Cabis1.831111106102R. Polasek1.83561211123WSep 5 · 13:03M. Cabis1.5571211113T. Zika2.301110831LSep 5 · 12:30M. Cabis1.6151113872O. Paril2.201151111113WSep 5 · 11:00M. Cabis1.6111811113T. Zika2.20611931LSep 5 · 10:00M. Biolek1.61116119113M. Cabis2.2081161162
R. Polasek10
LSep 12 · 19:30R. Polasek2.38115571D. Opanasiuk1.5391111113LSep 12 · 18:30J. Dzida1.3611911113R. Polasek3.00711971LSep 11 · 13:00R. Revay2.1061211113R. Polasek1.671110691LSep 11 · 12:00O. Paril1.731111113R. Polasek2.005590LSep 11 · 11:00P. Wawrosz2.0011127113R. Polasek1.739101191LSep 11 · 10:30R. Polasek1.83101111101R. Revay1.8312913123LSep 10 · 16:59R. Polasek2.20611431M. Biolek1.6111911113LSep 10 · 16:30T. Dousek1.83711911113R. Polasek1.8311411642LSep 10 · 15:30R. Polasek2.20311111152M. Biolek1.61118137113WSep 10 · 14:30M. Cabis1.831111106102R. Polasek1.83561211123
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