TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13115298
Played Sep 12Finished
Michal Cabis
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210611711119711
Jan Dzida
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:53 and never touched — 62.4% is still 62.4%
Graded at full timeJan Dzida to win
62.4%
62.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Cabis above · Jan Dzida below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 95 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Jan Dzida at 62.4%
95 points played in total.
H2H Michal Cabis 7–10 Jan Dzida Michal Cabis has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:53What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Dzida
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-10 in 17
Dzida
Correct
gap of 3 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cabis 1855 vs Dzida 1987
Dzida
Correct
both rated, 132 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cabis 40% vs Dzida 80%
Dzida
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cabis 50% vs Dzida 70%
Dzida
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cabis +1 · Dzida +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Dzida)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dzida form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCabis 2.38 / Dzida 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Dzida)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13115298
Cabis2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 86 of 179
Down 0–1, comes back32% 31 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 44
Dzida1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 132 of 228
Up 2–0, closes it95% 60 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it74% 97 of 131
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCabis4wins
AwayDzida6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDzida leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCabis66.7%2 of 3
AwayDzida71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cabis3Dzida7n = 10Dzida took 7 of 10
S2Cabis2Dzida8n = 10Dzida took 8 of 10
S3Cabis6Dzida4n = 10Cabis took 6 of 10
S4Cabis4Dzida4n = 8split evenly
S5Cabis2Dzida1n = 3Cabis took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricCabisDzidaC − DBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.040.7−3.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCabisDzidaBasisWin rate · lifetime368 / 701 vs 207 / 34952.5%59.3%368 / 701 vs 207 / 349Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DzidaCabis 2.38/Dzida 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.4%
Dzida · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dzida won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 12:00M. Cabis27851131J. Dzida4211119113
WAug 23 · 19:00M. Cabis46131111113J. Dzida37159581
LAug 13 · 17:29M. Cabis4210111291J. Dzida4612914113
LAug 13 · 16:00M. Cabis156720J. Dzida331111113
LAug 9 · 21:30M. Cabis217590J. Dzida331111113
WAug 9 · 18:00M. Cabis561091112143J. Dzida491211410122
WJul 9 · 21:28M. Cabis50114168113J. Dzida49611141172
WJul 9 · 20:30M. Cabis3811511113J. Dzida30611581
LJul 7 · 15:30M. Cabis32118491J. Dzida4181111113
LJul 1 · 15:00M. Cabis43108111132J. Dzida47121167113
M. Cabis10
WSep 12 · 18:00D. Opanasiuk1.61711801M. Cabis2.20111116113LSep 10 · 17:30T. Dousek1.851114113M. Cabis1.8581270WSep 10 · 16:00M. Biolek1.61951181M. Cabis2.2011116113LSep 10 · 15:00T. Dousek1.835121112143M. Cabis1.831110614122LSep 10 · 14:30M. Cabis1.831111106102R. Polasek1.83561211123WSep 5 · 13:03M. Cabis1.5571211113T. Zika2.301110831LSep 5 · 12:30M. Cabis1.6151113872O. Paril2.201151111113WSep 5 · 11:00M. Cabis1.6111811113T. Zika2.20611931LSep 5 · 10:00M. Biolek1.61116119113M. Cabis2.2081161162WAug 31 · 17:00J. Szotkowski1.73101040M. Cabis2.001212113
J. Dzida10
WSep 12 · 18:30J. Dzida1.3611911113R. Polasek3.00711971WSep 6 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk1.6411621582J. Dzida2.019111911113LSep 6 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk1.8081212113J. Dzida1.9111101081WSep 6 · 19:30J. Dzida1.8011118113M. Biolek1.91991151WSep 6 · 18:30O. Paril2.0013790J. Dzida1.731511113LSep 4 · 13:30O. Paril1.941113113J. Dzida1.6851180LSep 4 · 12:30J. Dzida1.738811101O. Paril2.0011113123WSep 4 · 11:00J. Dzida1.3614119113R. Polasek3.001221191WSep 4 · 10:00T. Dousek2.7551181362J. Dzida1.401141111113WSep 1 · 16:59J. Dzida1.91311118113O. Paril1.8011881192
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