TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13114402
Played Sep 12Finished
Radovan Polasek
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 8
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119511511711––
Dmytro Opanasiuk
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:34 and never touched — 56.4% is still 56.4%
Graded at full timeDmytro Opanasiuk to win
56.4%
56.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadovan Polasek above · Dmytro Opanasiuk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 70 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Dmytro Opanasiuk at 56.4%
70 points played in total.
H2H Radovan Polasek 1–2 Dmytro Opanasiuk Radovan Polasek has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:34What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Opanasiuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Polasek 1790 vs Opanasiuk 1937
Opanasiuk
Correct
both rated, 147 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polasek 0% vs Opanasiuk 60%
Opanasiuk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polasek 20% vs Opanasiuk 70%
Opanasiuk
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Polasek -5 · Opanasiuk -1
Polasek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Opanasiuk) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polasek form (0%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolasek 2.38 / Opanasiuk 1.53
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Opanasiuk)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13114402
Polasek2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog51% won 175 of 346
Down 0–1, comes back30% 51 of 173
Down 0–2, comes back11% 10 of 88
Opanasiuk1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 86 of 161
Up 2–0, closes it89% 41 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it70% 53 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomePolasek1wins
AwayOpanasiuk2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderOpanasiuk leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polasek2Opanasiuk1n = 3Polasek took 2 of 3
S2Polasek0Opanasiuk3n = 3Opanasiuk took 3 of 3
S3Polasek0Opanasiuk3n = 3Opanasiuk took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricPolasekOpanasiukP − OBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match36.341.7−5.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolasekOpanasiukBasisWin rate · lifetime450 / 889 vs 139 / 26050.6%53.5%450 / 889 vs 139 / 260Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OpanasiukPolasek 2.38/Opanasiuk 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.6%
Opanasiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Opanasiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 9 · 15:30R. Polasek31119651D. Opanasiuk4291111113
LJun 1 · 21:00R. Polasek2661190D. Opanasiuk351113113
WJun 1 · 19:30R. Polasek52118814113D. Opanasiuk48911111252
R. Polasek10
LSep 12 · 18:30J. Dzida1.3611911113R. Polasek3.00711971LSep 11 · 13:00R. Revay2.1061211113R. Polasek1.671110691LSep 11 · 12:00O. Paril1.731111113R. Polasek2.005590LSep 11 · 11:00P. Wawrosz2.0011127113R. Polasek1.739101191LSep 11 · 10:30R. Polasek1.83101111101R. Revay1.8312913123LSep 10 · 16:59R. Polasek2.20611431M. Biolek1.6111911113LSep 10 · 16:30T. Dousek1.83711911113R. Polasek1.8311411642LSep 10 · 15:30R. Polasek2.20311111152M. Biolek1.61118137113WSep 10 · 14:30M. Cabis1.831111106102R. Polasek1.83561211123WSep 10 · 13:30O. Paril1.738470R. Polasek2.001111113
D. Opanasiuk10
LSep 12 · 18:00D. Opanasiuk1.61711801M. Cabis2.20111116113WSep 7 · 21:30M. Vavrecka2.356760D. Opanasiuk1.521111113WSep 7 · 20:00O. Paril2.75761171D. Opanasiuk1.4011118113LSep 7 · 19:00M. Vavrecka2.25119118113D. Opanasiuk1.5781191182WSep 7 · 18:30D. Opanasiuk1.8010111011113T. Dousek1.9112612892LSep 6 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk1.6411621582J. Dzida2.019111911113WSep 6 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk1.8081212113J. Dzida1.9111101081WSep 6 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk1.4471113133O. Paril2.6311411111WSep 6 · 18:00M. Biolek1.8371271122D. Opanasiuk1.831110115113WAug 24 · 20:58M. Biolek1.80111211101D. Opanasiuk1.9131413123
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