TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13126494
Played Sep 13Finished
Tomas Dousek
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1311611117115––
Dmytro Opanasiuk
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingTomas Dousek above · Dmytro Opanasiuk below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 75 set 4, 11-5
75 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Dousek 3–1 Dmytro Opanasiuk Dmytro Opanasiuk has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Dousek beat Opanasiuk 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Opanasiuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Opanasiuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDousek 2.00 / Opanasiuk 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Opanasiuk)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13126494
Dousek2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 31 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back32% 14 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Opanasiuk1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 78 of 151
Up 2–0, closes it91% 39 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it69% 50 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeDousek3wins
AwayOpanasiuk1wins
4 of 4 to a deciderDousek leads 3–1, and 4 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDousek66.7%2 of 3
AwayOpanasiukn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dousek3Opanasiuk1n = 4Dousek took 3 of 4
S2Dousek2Opanasiuk2n = 4split evenly
S3Dousek2Opanasiuk2n = 4split evenly
S4Dousek1Opanasiuk3n = 4Opanasiuk took 3 of 4
S5Dousek3Opanasiuk1n = 4Dousek took 3 of 4
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home375%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricDousekOpanasiukD − OBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match47.045.0+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDousekOpanasiukBasisWin rate · lifetime243 / 458 vs 141 / 26653.1%53%243 / 458 vs 141 / 266Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OpanasiukDousek 2.00/Opanasiuk 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Opanasiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Dousek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 13 · 19:30T. Dousek49111179113D. Opanasiuk4286111162
LSep 7 · 18:30T. Dousek4712612892D. Opanasiuk5310111011113
WJun 21 · 13:30T. Dousek40111143113D. Opanasiuk3763111162
WJun 21 · 12:00T. Dousek526131111113D. Opanasiuk4811158592
T. Dousek10
LSep 13 · 20:30J. Dzida1.401111123T. Dousek2.7558100WSep 13 · 19:30T. Dousek2.00111179113D. Opanasiuk1.7386111162WSep 13 · 18:30M. Biolek1.5011911952T. Dousek2.50711811113WSep 10 · 17:30T. Dousek1.851114113M. Cabis1.8581270WSep 10 · 16:30T. Dousek1.83711911113R. Polasek1.8311411642WSep 10 · 15:00T. Dousek1.835121112143M. Cabis1.831110614122WSep 10 · 14:00M. Biolek1.50691361T. Dousek2.50111111113LSep 7 · 21:00T. Dousek1.7310990O. Paril2.001211113LSep 7 · 20:30M. Vavrecka2.00101111113T. Dousek1.73129491WSep 7 · 19:30T. Dousek1.80111179113O. Paril1.9159111162
D. Opanasiuk10
LSep 13 · 20:00D. Opanasiuk1.83711861M. Biolek1.8311911113LSep 13 · 19:30T. Dousek2.00111179113D. Opanasiuk1.7386111162LSep 13 · 18:00D. Opanasiuk1.7311911862J. Dzida2.00611911113LSep 12 · 21:29M. Cabis2.101111113D. Opanasiuk1.679580WSep 12 · 20:00D. Opanasiuk1.7311129113J. Dzida2.005101181WSep 12 · 19:30R. Polasek2.38115571D. Opanasiuk1.5391111113LSep 12 · 18:00D. Opanasiuk1.61711801M. Cabis2.20111116113WSep 7 · 21:30M. Vavrecka2.356760D. Opanasiuk1.521111113WSep 7 · 20:00O. Paril2.75761171D. Opanasiuk1.4011118113LSep 7 · 19:00M. Vavrecka2.25119118113D. Opanasiuk1.5781191182
Upcoming Matches
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D. Opanasiuk
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