TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120197
Played Sep 13Finished
Jan Dzida
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1151181210––––
Tomas Dousek
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:18 and never touched — 68.7% is still 68.7%
Graded at full timeJan Dzida to win
68.7%
68.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Dzida above · Tomas Dousek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 57 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Jan Dzida at 68.7%
57 points played in total.
H2H Jan Dzida 6–0 Tomas Dousek Tomas Dousek has won 0 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:18What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Dzida
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-0 in 6
Dzida
Correct
gap of 6 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dzida 1984 vs Dousek 1892
Dzida
Correct
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dzida 40% vs Dousek 100%
Dousek
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dzida 60% vs Dousek 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dzida -1 · Dousek +5
Dousek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Dzida) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dousek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDzida 1.40 / Dousek 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Dzida)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120197
Dzida1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 133 of 228
Up 2–0, closes it95% 59 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it74% 97 of 131
Dousek2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 31 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back32% 14 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeDzida6wins
AwayDousek0wins
2 of 6 to a deciderDzida leads 6–0, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDzida100%6 of 6
AwayDousekn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dzida6Dousek0n = 6Dzida took 6 of 6
S2Dzida4Dousek2n = 6Dzida took 4 of 6
S3Dzida5Dousek1n = 6Dzida took 5 of 6
S4Dzida1Dousek2n = 3Dousek took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home350%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricDzidaDousekDzida − DousekBasisWins60+6in 6 meetingsFirst set60+6of 6Avg pointsper match40.030.2+9.8per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDzidaDousekBasisWin rate · lifetime209 / 354 vs 243 / 45759%53.2%209 / 354 vs 243 / 457Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DzidaDzida 1.40/Dousek 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.9%
Dzida · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Dzida won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 4 · 10:00J. Dzida481141111113T. Dousek4351181362
WJul 7 · 14:30J. Dzida331111113T. Dousek218670
WJun 15 · 15:30J. Dzida43111011113T. Dousek36712891
WMar 27 · 18:00J. Dzida511111810113T. Dousek4659111292
WMar 27 · 15:00J. Dzida331111113T. Dousek166460
WDec 23 · 13:00J. Dzida321111103T. Dousek198470
J. Dzida10
LSep 13 · 21:30M. Biolek1.901111123J. Dzida1.8099100LSep 13 · 19:00J. Dzida1.80211891M. Biolek1.9111711113WSep 13 · 18:00D. Opanasiuk1.7311911862J. Dzida2.00611911113LSep 12 · 20:59J. Dzida1.368980R. Polasek3.001111113LSep 12 · 20:00D. Opanasiuk1.7311129113J. Dzida2.005101181WSep 12 · 19:00M. Cabis2.3812671172J. Dzida1.531011119113WSep 12 · 18:30J. Dzida1.3611911113R. Polasek3.00711971WSep 6 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk1.6411621582J. Dzida2.019111911113LSep 6 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk1.8081212113J. Dzida1.9111101081WSep 6 · 19:30J. Dzida1.8011118113M. Biolek1.91991151
T. Dousek10
WSep 13 · 21:00T. Dousek2.0013611113D. Opanasiuk1.731111751WSep 13 · 19:30T. Dousek2.00111179113D. Opanasiuk1.7386111162WSep 13 · 18:30M. Biolek1.5011911952T. Dousek2.50711811113WSep 10 · 17:30T. Dousek1.851114113M. Cabis1.8581270WSep 10 · 16:30T. Dousek1.83711911113R. Polasek1.8311411642WSep 10 · 15:00T. Dousek1.835121112143M. Cabis1.831110614122WSep 10 · 14:00M. Biolek1.50691361T. Dousek2.50111111113LSep 7 · 21:00T. Dousek1.7310990O. Paril2.001211113LSep 7 · 20:30M. Vavrecka2.00101111113T. Dousek1.73129491WSep 7 · 19:30T. Dousek1.80111179113O. Paril1.9159111162
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