TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13115035
Played Sep 12Finished
Libor Prikasky
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117811119117––
Lukas Velebil
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:59 and never touched — 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timeLukas Velebil to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLibor Prikasky above · Lukas Velebil below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 75 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Lukas Velebil at 55.6%
75 points played in total.
H2H Libor Prikasky 0–1 Lukas Velebil Libor Prikasky has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:59What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Velebil
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Prikasky 1757 vs Velebil 1794
Velebil
Wrong
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prikasky 60% vs Velebil 80%
Velebil
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prikasky 40% vs Velebil 60%
Velebil
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prikasky +3 · Velebil +2
Prikasky
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Velebil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Velebil form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrikasky 2.10 / Velebil 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Velebil)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13115035
Prikasky2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 84 of 198
Down 0–1, comes back22% 25 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 63
Velebil1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 29 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it81% 13 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it79% 19 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePrikasky0wins
AwayVelebil1wins
Velebil leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricPrikaskyVelebilP − VBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match21.033.0−12.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrikaskyVelebilBasisWin rate · lifetime252 / 451 vs 52 / 9355.9%55.9%252 / 451 vs 52 / 93Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VelebilPrikasky 2.10/Velebil 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Velebil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Prikasky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 27 · 15:30L. Prikasky—4890L. Velebil—1111113
L. Prikasky10
WSep 12 · 07:00L. Prikasky1.9181112113J. Pilch1.801191061WSep 12 · 06:00P. Wawrosz1.809111191L. Prikasky1.9111136113WSep 9 · 17:00M. Skotnica1.61101111852L. Prikasky2.20129611113LSep 9 · 16:30L. Prikasky2.0391350R. Polasek1.621115113LSep 9 · 15:00L. Prikasky1.83541381M. Grundel1.83111111113LSep 9 · 14:00M. Skotnica1.618111110113L. Prikasky2.2011561252LSep 5 · 09:00M. Navedla1.8311813113L. Prikasky1.836111171WSep 5 · 08:30P. Wawrosz1.73771161L. Prikasky2.0011115113LSep 5 · 07:30L. Prikasky1.8391180M. Vavrecka1.831113113LSep 5 · 06:30M. Navedla1.911111118113L. Prikasky1.8091351192
L. Velebil10
WSep 12 · 07:30L. Velebil2.1011117113P. Wawrosz1.67881141WSep 12 · 06:30J. Pilch1.67116112132L. Velebil2.10711711153LSep 10 · 17:30L. Velebil1.8071191152D. Tomica1.90119119113WSep 10 · 16:30L. Velebil1.4451111113F. Nadymacek2.63114751WSep 10 · 15:00L. Velebil1.8371112113D. Tomica1.831151071WSep 10 · 14:00M. Grundel1.67119931L. Velebil2.1041111113WSep 3 · 16:59R. Urbaniec2.635450L. Velebil1.441111113LSep 3 · 16:30L. Velebil1.33111158102R. Urbaniec3.25891111123LSep 3 · 15:00L. Velebil1.838101191M. Skotnica1.8311129113LSep 3 · 14:00M. Grundel1.831113113L. Velebil1.8371160
Upcoming Matches
L. Prikasky1 of 1 neutral
L. Velebil1 of 1 neutral
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