Matyas Navedla vs Rostislav Niezgoda 2-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13125034

Played Sep 14Finished

Matyas Navedla

Home

1.83

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 3

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

511711118118511

Rostislav Niezgoda

Away

1.83

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

9–1Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:10 and never touched — 61.4% is still 61.4%

Graded at full time

Rostislav Niezgoda to win

61.4%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingMatyas Navedla above · Rostislav Niezgoda below

Set 1 · 5-11

Set 2 · 7-11

Set 3 · 11-8

Set 4 · 11-8

Set 5 · 5-11

Point 88 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Rostislav Niezgoda at 61.4%

88 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 14:10

What took a side3 for · 1 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.83 (50%)

Niezgoda

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Form (L5)

Navedla 20% vs Niezgoda 80%

Niezgoda

Correct

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Navedla 30% vs Niezgoda 90%

Niezgoda

Correct

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Navedla -3 · Niezgoda +2

Navedla

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Niezgoda) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Niezgoda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsNavedla 1.83 / Niezgoda 1.83

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Niezgoda)+4.0pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13125034

Navedla1.83

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

Niezgoda1.83

90%won 9 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricNavedlaNiezgodaBasisWin rate · lifetime365 / 767 vs 9 / 1047.6%90%365 / 767 vs 9 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.12.8per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Niezgoda

Navedla 1.83/Niezgoda 1.83

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Niezgoda · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Niezgoda won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

M. Navedla10