TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131370
Played Sep 15Finished
Fedir Chashchin
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11514121012113––
Volodymyr Hainiuk
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFedir Chashchin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFedir Chashchin above · Volodymyr Hainiuk below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 78 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Fedir Chashchin at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Fedir Chashchin 9–9 Volodymyr Hainiuk Dead even across their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 7–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:43What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Hainiuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-9 in 18
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chashchin 1429 vs Hainiuk 1433
Hainiuk
Wrong
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chashchin 60% vs Hainiuk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chashchin 50% vs Hainiuk 80%
Hainiuk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chashchin -1 · Hainiuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chashchin)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChashchin 1.83 / Hainiuk 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Chashchin)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13131370
Chashchin1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Hainiuk1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChashchin7wins
AwayHainiuk3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderChashchin leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChashchin83.3%5 of 6
AwayHainiuk50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chashchin6Hainiuk4n = 10Chashchin took 6 of 10
S2Chashchin5Hainiuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Chashchin3Hainiuk7n = 10Hainiuk took 7 of 10
S4Chashchin6Hainiuk2n = 8Chashchin took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricChashchinHainiukC − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.435.7+1.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChashchinHainiukBasisWin rate · lifetime99 / 194 vs 368 / 67451%54.6%99 / 194 vs 368 / 674Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChashchinChashchin 1.83/Hainiuk 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Chashchin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Chashchin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 17:35F. Chashchin46661211113V. Hainiuk47111110692
LAug 31 · 19:35F. Chashchin28116741V. Hainiuk4071111113
LAug 11 · 13:35F. Chashchin194870V. Hainiuk331111113
WJul 13 · 14:55F. Chashchin4211119113V. Hainiuk28661151
WJul 9 · 17:35F. Chashchin491111106113V. Hainiuk4191121182
WJun 15 · 16:25F. Chashchin4471114123V. Hainiuk3811512101
LJun 8 · 14:05F. Chashchin218760V. Hainiuk331111113
WMay 26 · 17:35F. Chashchin4211119113V. Hainiuk32961161
WMay 22 · 08:55F. Chashchin4312911113V. Hainiuk321011651
WMay 19 · 15:35F. Chashchin4011117113V. Hainiuk33761191
F. Chashchin10
LSep 15 · 16:35F. Chashchin3.00912118122A. Lifanov1.361110511143WSep 15 · 15:05F. Chashchin3.4081111113A. Yakovenko1.30119481LSep 15 · 13:05F. Chashchin1.6110760I. Elfemov2.201211113WSep 7 · 18:35O. Korobov1.83117871F. Chashchin1.8371111113WSep 7 · 17:35F. Chashchin2.10661211113V. Hainiuk1.67111110692LSep 7 · 16:35F. Chashchin2.75115971V. Sharpai1.4031111113WSep 7 · 15:05F. Chashchin1.611111103113V. Chumak2.2085121192LSep 7 · 13:05F. Chashchin2.2571112462V. Kaganovych1.571191011113LAug 31 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.8071111113F. Chashchin1.91116741WAug 31 · 18:05F. Chashchin1.731111113R. Serhyenko2.006650
V. Hainiuk10
LSep 15 · 15:35V. Kaganovych1.5011911113V. Hainiuk2.50811891WSep 15 · 14:35V. Hainiuk3.001111133A. Lifanov1.3649110WSep 15 · 13:35A. Yakovenko1.571141291V. Hainiuk2.2581114113LSep 14 · 19:35V. Hainiuk2.501071261V. Kaganovych1.50121110113WSep 14 · 17:35I. Elfemov2.00611791V. Hainiuk1.7311711113WSep 14 · 15:35O. Korobov1.3311115172V. Hainiuk3.25951111113WSep 14 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.531111113V. Sydorenko2.382840WSep 14 · 13:35V. Sharpai1.5371140V. Hainiuk2.381113113LSep 7 · 17:35F. Chashchin2.10661211113V. Hainiuk1.67111110692WAug 31 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.8071111113F. Chashchin1.91116741
Upcoming Matches
F. Chashchin
Nothing scheduled
V. Hainiuk
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