TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13129803
Played Sep 15Finished
Leos Havrda
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119118211114––
Miloslav Lubas
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:41 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMiloslav Lubas to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLeos Havrda above · Miloslav Lubas below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 67 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Miloslav Lubas at 54.0%
67 points played in total.
H2H Leos Havrda 15–20 Miloslav Lubas Leos Havrda has won 15 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:41What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Lubas
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-20 in 35
Lubas
Wrong
gap of 5 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Havrda 1292 vs Lubas 1250
Havrda
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Havrda 60% vs Lubas 80%
Lubas
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Havrda 60% vs Lubas 40%
Havrda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Havrda +2 · Lubas +4
Lubas
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lubas)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lubas form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHavrda 2.00 / Lubas 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Lubas)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13129803
Havrda2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 42 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back14% 7 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 31
Lubas1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 24 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it85% 17 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHavrda4wins
AwayLubas6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLubas leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHavrda80%4 of 5
AwayLubas100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Havrda5Lubas5n = 10split evenly
S2Havrda6Lubas4n = 10Havrda took 6 of 10
S3Havrda6Lubas4n = 10Havrda took 6 of 10
S4Havrda3Lubas3n = 6split evenly
S5Havrda1Lubas4n = 5Lubas took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHavrdaLubasH − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.937.5+2.4per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHavrdaLubasBasisWin rate · lifetime222 / 493 vs 159 / 32645%48.8%222 / 493 vs 159 / 326Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LubasHavrda 2.00/Lubas 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Lubas · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Havrda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 5 · 15:00L. Havrda32781161M. Lubas3811115113
WJun 24 · 17:30L. Havrda331111113M. Lubas188370
LJun 24 · 16:30L. Havrda2913970M. Lubas371511113
LJun 7 · 16:30L. Havrda561014111292M. Lubas521212314113
WJun 3 · 14:30L. Havrda521114511113M. Lubas50712111372
LMay 30 · 11:30L. Havrda4591171172M. Lubas47118116113
WMay 9 · 13:29L. Havrda341211113M. Lubas1810260
LMay 9 · 10:00L. Havrda4669111192M. Lubas46111158113
WApr 30 · 16:58L. Havrda331111113M. Lubas166370
LApr 30 · 15:00L. Havrda3912561242M. Lubas5310111110113
L. Havrda10
WSep 15 · 15:00J. Svec1.619118101L. Havrda2.2011711123WSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113WSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 5 · 11:00L. Havrda1.5728100V. Stach2.251111123LSep 5 · 10:00M. Syroha1.221211113L. Havrda4.0010860WAug 30 · 03:30L. Havrda1.851111113V. Stach1.856380WAug 30 · 02:30J. Pelikan1.619140L. Havrda2.201111113WAug 30 · 01:00J. Grohsgott1.675860L. Havrda2.101111113LAug 29 · 23:30L. Havrda2.25991391D. Mutl1.57111111113WAug 29 · 22:00L. Havrda2.1071111113V. Stach1.67113581
M. Lubas10
WSep 7 · 13:30M. Lubas1.671111113D. Mutl2.107830WSep 7 · 12:30M. Lubas1.731111113M. Regner2.004440WSep 7 · 11:00M. Lubas1.73911811123D. Mutl2.00116117102WSep 7 · 10:00M. Vaclavik1.5711115111M. Lubas2.2591311133LSep 3 · 21:00J. Pelikan1.67411211113M. Lubas2.1011811452LSep 3 · 20:30M. Lubas2.105790V. Sr1.671111113LSep 3 · 19:00M. Lubas2.101011111282J. Pelikan1.67124314113LSep 3 · 18:00J. Grohsgott2.2011119113M. Lubas1.61581191LAug 29 · 17:30M. Vaclavik1.801211113M. Lubas1.9010690LAug 29 · 16:00M. Lubas1.5312950M. Vaclavik2.381411113
Upcoming Matches
L. Havrda
Nothing scheduled
M. Lubas
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