TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13129707
Played Sep 15Finished
Jiri Svec
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111178111012––
Leos Havrda
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:21 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeJiri Svec to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Svec above · Leos Havrda below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 79 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Jiri Svec at 58.1%
79 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Svec 22–15 Leos Havrda Leos Havrda has won 15 of their 37 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:21What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Svec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-15 in 37
Svec
Wrong
gap of 7 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svec 1304 vs Havrda 1292
Svec
Wrong
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svec 60% vs Havrda 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svec 70% vs Havrda 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Svec -1 · Havrda +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Svec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Havrda form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvec 1.61 / Havrda 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Svec)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13129707
Svec1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 52 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it83% 40 of 48
Havrda2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 42 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back14% 7 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSvec5wins
AwayHavrda5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvec71.4%5 of 7
AwayHavrda100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svec7Havrda3n = 10Svec took 7 of 10
S2Svec3Havrda7n = 10Havrda took 7 of 10
S3Svec5Havrda5n = 10split evenly
S4Svec3Havrda3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSvecHavrdaS − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.836.6+0.2per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvecHavrdaBasisWin rate · lifetime392 / 843 vs 222 / 49346.5%45%392 / 843 vs 222 / 493Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvecSvec 1.61/Havrda 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Svec · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Havrda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 10 · 16:30J. Svec4012116113L. Havrda341091141
WAug 1 · 06:00J. Svec50119127113L. Havrda44411101182
WJul 11 · 13:04J. Svec331111113L. Havrda229490
WJul 11 · 10:00J. Svec331111113L. Havrda259970
LMay 30 · 21:00J. Svec391289101L. Havrda44101111123
WMay 30 · 18:30J. Svec4313811113L. Havrda351111581
LMay 24 · 08:30J. Svec381198101L. Havrda4171111123
LApr 11 · 21:30J. Svec2531480L. Havrda381116113
LApr 11 · 20:30J. Svec4128111192L. Havrda49111179113
LApr 11 · 07:30J. Svec2671090L. Havrda341112113
J. Svec10
LSep 15 · 14:00V. Stach2.751612711113J. Svec1.40181011752WSep 13 · 09:30M. Barta1.8753131172J. Svec1.831111118113LSep 13 · 08:30J. Svec1.8081170M. Bohac1.911113113WSep 13 · 07:00J. Svec2.75611314113F. Trojan1.40119111252WSep 13 · 06:00M. Barta1.678780J. Svec2.101111113LSep 12 · 17:29J. Svec2.2511770J. Grohsgott1.571311113WSep 12 · 16:30M. Syroha1.8391120J. Svec1.831113113WSep 12 · 15:30J. Svec2.2091111113J. Grohsgott1.61117681WSep 12 · 14:30M. Vrabec3.507380J. Svec1.281111113WSep 11 · 17:30M. Regner1.635260J. Svec2.131111113
L. Havrda10
WSep 15 · 14:30L. Havrda2.0011112113M. Lubas1.73981141WSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113WSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 5 · 11:00L. Havrda1.5728100V. Stach2.251111123LSep 5 · 10:00M. Syroha1.221211113L. Havrda4.0010860WAug 30 · 03:30L. Havrda1.851111113V. Stach1.856380WAug 30 · 02:30J. Pelikan1.619140L. Havrda2.201111113WAug 30 · 01:00J. Grohsgott1.675860L. Havrda2.101111113LAug 29 · 23:30L. Havrda2.25991391D. Mutl1.57111111113WAug 29 · 22:00L. Havrda2.1071111113V. Stach1.67113581
Upcoming Matches
J. Svec
L. Havrda
Nothing scheduled
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