TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13128833
Played Sep 15Finished
Vojtech Stach
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
16181210711117115
Jiri Svec
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:40 and never touched — 56.4% is still 56.4%
Graded at full timeJiri Svec to win
56.4%
56.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVojtech Stach above · Jiri Svec below
Set 1 · 16-18
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 108 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Jiri Svec at 56.4%
108 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Stach 0–1 Jiri Svec Vojtech Stach has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:40What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Svec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Stach 1091 vs Svec 1321
Svec
Wrong
both rated, 230 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stach 40% vs Svec 60%
Svec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stach 50% vs Svec 70%
Svec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stach +1 · Svec +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Svec) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svec form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStach 2.75 / Svec 1.40
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Svec)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13128833
Stach2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 22 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back17% 4 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Svec1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 52 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it83% 40 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeStach0wins
AwaySvec1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderSvec leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricStachSvecStach − SvecBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match43.050.0−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStachSvecBasisWin rate · lifetime69 / 135 vs 393 / 84651.1%46.5%69 / 135 vs 393 / 846Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvecStach 2.75/Svec 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.1%
Svec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Stach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 11 · 15:00V. Stach4376111182J. Svec50111198113
V. Stach10
WSep 13 · 13:07Z. Kasinski1.851511961V. Stach1.8517611113LSep 13 · 12:00M. Syroha2.201111123V. Stach1.6188100LSep 13 · 11:00Z. Kasinski2.101111113V. Stach1.679970LSep 13 · 10:30V. Stach1.441091271M. Vrabec2.63121110113WSep 11 · 20:58V. Stach1.4411312113J. Martinek2.637111051LSep 11 · 20:00J. Pelikan1.80127114113V. Stach1.91101161112WSep 11 · 19:00J. Martinek2.259111091V. Stach1.5711912113LSep 11 · 18:30V. Stach1.611178111J. Hyrsl2.2051111133WSep 11 · 17:00M. Syroha2.0013630V. Stach1.701511113WSep 11 · 16:00M. Syroha2.00111262122V. Stach1.733101111143
J. Svec10
LSep 15 · 15:00J. Svec1.619118101L. Havrda2.2011711123WSep 13 · 09:30M. Barta1.8753131172J. Svec1.831111118113LSep 13 · 08:30J. Svec1.8081170M. Bohac1.911113113WSep 13 · 07:00J. Svec2.75611314113F. Trojan1.40119111252WSep 13 · 06:00M. Barta1.678780J. Svec2.101111113LSep 12 · 17:29J. Svec2.2511770J. Grohsgott1.571311113WSep 12 · 16:30M. Syroha1.8391120J. Svec1.831113113WSep 12 · 15:30J. Svec2.2091111113J. Grohsgott1.61117681WSep 12 · 14:30M. Vrabec3.507380J. Svec1.281111113WSep 11 · 17:30M. Regner1.635260J. Svec2.131111113
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