TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13129622
Played Sep 15Finished
Lukas Martinak
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181151012116––
Dalimil Machander
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:03 and never touched — 56.4% is still 56.4%
Graded at full timeDalimil Machander to win
56.4%
56.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLukas Martinak above · Dalimil Machander below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 74 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Dalimil Machander at 56.4%
74 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Martinak 14–11 Dalimil Machander Dalimil Machander has won 11 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:03What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Martinak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-11 in 25
Martinak
Correct
gap of 3 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Martinak 1632 vs Machander 1594
Martinak
Correct
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martinak 20% vs Machander 40%
Machander
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martinak 30% vs Machander 60%
Machander
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Martinak -2 · Machander -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Martinak) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Martinak form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartinak 1.73 / Machander 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Martinak)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13129622
Martinak1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 42 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it87% 26 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it70% 32 of 46
Machander2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 64 of 148
Down 0–1, comes back35% 28 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back19% 9 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMartinak6wins
AwayMachander4wins
7 of 10 to a deciderMartinak leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMartinak62.5%5 of 8
AwayMachandern = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Martinak8Machander2n = 10Martinak took 8 of 10
S2Martinak6Machander4n = 10Martinak took 6 of 10
S3Martinak4Machander6n = 10Machander took 6 of 10
S4Martinak3Machander6n = 9Machander took 6 of 9
S5Martinak4Machander3n = 7Martinak took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMartinakMachanderMartinak − MachanderBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match46.444.7+1.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartinakMachanderBasisWin rate · lifetime146 / 276 vs 168 / 35952.9%46.8%146 / 276 vs 168 / 359Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.140.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartinakMartinak 1.73/Machander 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Martinak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Martinak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 15:00L. Martinak351111133D. Machander2283110
LAug 9 · 09:06L. Martinak45511101272D. Machander531191210113
WAug 9 · 08:30L. Martinak44741111113D. Machander4611119962
WJul 30 · 18:00L. Martinak5511101112113D. Machander5181291482
LJul 20 · 08:30L. Martinak51111178142D. Machander50571111163
LJul 11 · 19:30L. Martinak391198111D. Machander4051111133
LJul 1 · 08:30L. Martinak621116119152D. Machander57718411173
WMay 8 · 17:30L. Martinak3711114113D. Machander34881171
WMay 8 · 16:30L. Martinak47111339113D. Machander46411111192
WApr 28 · 15:30L. Martinak49111195133D. Machander48871111112
L. Martinak10
LSep 15 · 14:00F. Laburda1.831261110183L. Martinak1.831011712162LSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak1.5011117452A. Walek2.50661111113WSep 6 · 08:30L. Martinak1.731111113A. Walek2.006770LSep 6 · 07:00L. Martinak1.804980M. Bereiter1.911111113LSep 6 · 06:00T. Kypr2.0091111143L. Martinak1.731154121LSep 5 · 09:00A. Walek1.959121112113L. Martinak1.75111091442LSep 5 · 08:00L. Martinak1.809980D. Heczko1.911111113LSep 5 · 07:30J. Snr1.83811115113L. Martinak1.8311941162WSep 5 · 06:00L. Martinak1.73111153113A. Walek2.0075111162WSep 2 · 17:30L. Martinak1.80119114113J. Schwan1.8081151192
D. Machander10
WSep 15 · 14:30D. Machander1.83151267113A. Walek1.831310111162LSep 14 · 17:03D. Oborny1.8311611113D. Machander1.83711981WSep 14 · 16:00D. Machander1.8011101110113R. Skacelik1.9191291272LSep 14 · 15:30D. Oborny2.501112113D. Machander1.5091070LSep 14 · 14:00D. Machander2.1061111742S. Byrtus1.67116911113WSep 12 · 21:30D. Machander1.80125119153R. Skacelik1.911011511132WSep 12 · 20:00D. Langer1.57114761D. Machander2.2581111113WSep 12 · 19:00R. Skacelik2.008440D. Machander1.731111113LSep 12 · 18:30D. Machander1.8396111192D. Heczko1.83111154113WSep 12 · 17:00D. Machander1.801411113A. Walek1.9112720
Upcoming Matches
L. Martinak
D. Machander
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