TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13129737
Played Sep 15Finished
Frantisek Laburda
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
121061111710121816
Lukas Martinak
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:30 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Laburda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Laburda above · Lukas Martinak below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 18-16
Point 113 set 5, 18-16 — our read held Frantisek Laburda at 54.0%
113 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Laburda 6–5 Lukas Martinak Lukas Martinak has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:30What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Martinak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-5 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Laburda 1698 vs Martinak 1650
Laburda
Correct
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Laburda 40% vs Martinak 20%
Laburda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Laburda 70% vs Martinak 40%
Laburda
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Laburda +1 · Martinak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Laburda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Martinak form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLaburda 1.83 / Martinak 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Laburda)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13129737
Laburda1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Martinak1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLaburda5wins
AwayMartinak5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLaburdan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMartinak62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Laburda2Martinak8n = 10Martinak took 8 of 10
S2Laburda3Martinak7n = 10Martinak took 7 of 10
S3Laburda6Martinak4n = 10Laburda took 6 of 10
S4Laburda4Martinak2n = 6Laburda took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricLaburdaMartinakL − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match33.036.0−3.0per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLaburdaMartinakBasisWin rate · lifetime83 / 152 vs 146 / 27554.6%53.1%83 / 152 vs 146 / 275Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LaburdaLaburda 1.83/Martinak 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Laburda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Laburda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 3 · 08:00F. Laburda48771211113L. Martinak49111110892
LJun 5 · 17:00F. Laburda2311480L. Martinak351311113
WJun 5 · 15:30F. Laburda3961111113L. Martinak33118771
WMar 25 · 11:30F. Laburda401115143L. Martinak33813120
LMar 9 · 18:30F. Laburda173950L. Martinak331111113
LMar 9 · 15:30F. Laburda34511991L. Martinak3811511113
WMar 9 · 12:00F. Laburda4211911113L. Martinak28611381
LNov 3 · 15:30F. Laburda28681131L. Martinak3911116113
LNov 3 · 11:00F. Laburda2131080L. Martinak341112113
WOct 21 · 16:58F. Laburda38141111113L. Martinak3811116552
F. Laburda10
WSep 15 · 15:30A. Walek2.00118851F. Laburda1.7331111113WSep 8 · 17:29A. Walek1.9161111382F. Laburda1.80119911113LSep 8 · 16:00F. Laburda1.7351111792A. Walek2.00114911113LSep 8 · 15:30D. Heczko2.251112110143F. Laburda1.576101112122WSep 8 · 14:00F. Laburda1.6111111010113D. Langer2.2067121252LAug 3 · 09:28F. Laburda1.8069130J. Simecek1.911111153WAug 3 · 08:00L. Martinak1.73111110892F. Laburda2.00771211113WAug 3 · 07:00J. Simecek1.8388111282F. Laburda1.831111810113WAug 3 · 06:30F. Laburda1.8361112153A. Walek1.8311310131WJul 31 · 17:29T. Petrek1.831110121232F. Laburda1.833121014113
L. Martinak10
WSep 15 · 15:00L. Martinak1.73111110113D. Machander2.00851261LSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak1.5011117452A. Walek2.50661111113WSep 6 · 08:30L. Martinak1.731111113A. Walek2.006770LSep 6 · 07:00L. Martinak1.804980M. Bereiter1.911111113LSep 6 · 06:00T. Kypr2.0091111143L. Martinak1.731154121LSep 5 · 09:00A. Walek1.959121112113L. Martinak1.75111091442LSep 5 · 08:00L. Martinak1.809980D. Heczko1.911111113LSep 5 · 07:30J. Snr1.83811115113L. Martinak1.8311941162WSep 5 · 06:00L. Martinak1.73111153113A. Walek2.0075111162LAug 3 · 08:00L. Martinak1.73111110892F. Laburda2.00771211113
Upcoming Matches
F. Laburda
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L. Martinak
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