TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13130030
Played Sep 15Finished
Adrian Walek
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
113811811511––
Frantisek Laburda
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Laburda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdrian Walek above · Frantisek Laburda below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 68 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Frantisek Laburda at 54.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Adrian Walek 6–7 Frantisek Laburda Adrian Walek has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:54What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Laburda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-7 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Walek 1551 vs Laburda 1716
Laburda
Correct
both rated, 165 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Walek 20% vs Laburda 60%
Laburda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Walek 30% vs Laburda 70%
Laburda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Walek -4 · Laburda +2
Walek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Laburda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Walek form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWalek 2.00 / Laburda 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Laburda)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13130030
Walek2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog50% won 79 of 159
Down 0–1, comes back35% 27 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back18% 7 of 38
Laburda1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite48% won 14 of 29
Up 2–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it69% 9 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWalek5wins
AwayLaburda5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWalek71.4%5 of 7
AwayLaburda100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Walek7Laburda3n = 10Walek took 7 of 10
S2Walek6Laburda4n = 10Walek took 6 of 10
S3Walek5Laburda5n = 10split evenly
S4Walek2Laburda5n = 7Laburda took 5 of 7
S5Walek2Laburda2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricWalekLaburdaW − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.136.5+0.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWalekLaburdaBasisWin rate · lifetime233 / 459 vs 84 / 15350.8%54.9%233 / 459 vs 84 / 153Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LaburdaWalek 2.00/Laburda 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Laburda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Laburda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 17:29A. Walek3961111382F. Laburda51119911113
WSep 8 · 16:00A. Walek46114911113F. Laburda4351111792
LAug 3 · 06:30A. Walek3711310131F. Laburda4461112153
LJul 16 · 15:00A. Walek34119951F. Laburda3961111113
WJul 10 · 09:00A. Walek341112113F. Laburda2491050
LJul 10 · 08:00A. Walek28311681F. Laburda4011711113
WJul 3 · 06:30A. Walek361114113F. Laburda2231270
WJun 17 · 14:30A. Walek26111323F. Laburda1971110
WMar 19 · 15:30A. Walek44111129113F. Laburda3123111142
LMar 9 · 17:00A. Walek47871111102F. Laburda52111199123
A. Walek10
LSep 15 · 16:30L. Martinak1.7361111113A. Walek2.00116791LSep 15 · 14:30D. Machander1.83151267113A. Walek1.831310111162LSep 12 · 17:00D. Machander1.801411113A. Walek1.9112720LSep 12 · 16:30D. Heczko1.674111111113A. Walek2.1011134272LSep 12 · 15:30A. Walek1.9156120S. Byrtus1.801111143WSep 12 · 14:30D. Machander1.911110121182A. Walek1.80912146113LSep 12 · 13:30D. Unzeitig1.701115113A. Walek2.0081360LSep 12 · 12:30D. Unzeitig1.671111113A. Walek2.103660WSep 12 · 11:30A. Walek2.201111113Z. Pagac1.618870WSep 12 · 10:30M. Bereiter1.571112651A. Walek2.2571411113
F. Laburda10
WSep 15 · 16:00F. Laburda1.61811114113D. Machander2.2011961192WSep 15 · 14:00F. Laburda1.831261110183L. Martinak1.831011712162WSep 8 · 17:29A. Walek1.9161111382F. Laburda1.80119911113LSep 8 · 16:00F. Laburda1.7351111792A. Walek2.00114911113LSep 8 · 15:30D. Heczko2.251112110143F. Laburda1.576101112122WSep 8 · 14:00F. Laburda1.6111111010113D. Langer2.2067121252LAug 3 · 09:28F. Laburda1.8069130J. Simecek1.911111153WAug 3 · 08:00L. Martinak1.73111110892F. Laburda2.00771211113WAug 3 · 07:00J. Simecek1.8388111282F. Laburda1.831111810113WAug 3 · 06:30F. Laburda1.8361112153A. Walek1.8311310131
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