TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13128368
Played Sep 15Finished
Dmytro Derevynskyi
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1167111136111012
Serhii Skachenko
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:51 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmytro Derevynskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmytro Derevynskyi above · Serhii Skachenko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 88 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Dmytro Derevynskyi at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Derevynskyi 5–5 Serhii Skachenko Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:51What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Derevynskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Derevynskyi 1560 vs Skachenko 1580
Skachenko
Correct
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Derevynskyi 20% vs Skachenko 60%
Skachenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Derevynskyi 30% vs Skachenko 60%
Skachenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Derevynskyi -1 · Skachenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Derevynskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Derevynskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDerevynskyi 1.73 / Skachenko 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Derevynskyi)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13128368
Derevynskyi1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 189 of 323
Up 2–0, closes it91% 87 of 96
Up 1–0, closes it71% 135 of 189
Skachenko2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 67 of 182
Down 0–1, comes back16% 18 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDerevynskyi5wins
AwaySkachenko5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDerevynskyi100%4 of 4
AwaySkachenko83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Derevynskyi4Skachenko6n = 10Skachenko took 6 of 10
S2Derevynskyi8Skachenko2n = 10Derevynskyi took 8 of 10
S3Derevynskyi3Skachenko7n = 10Skachenko took 7 of 10
S4Derevynskyi6Skachenko3n = 9Derevynskyi took 6 of 9
S5Derevynskyi2Skachenko3n = 5Skachenko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDerevynskyiSkachenkoD − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.140.6+1.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDerevynskyiSkachenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime475 / 871 vs 125 / 30654.5%40.9%475 / 871 vs 125 / 306Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.736.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DerevynskyiDerevynskyi 1.73/Skachenko 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Derevynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Skachenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 17:25D. Derevynskyi32651561S. Skachenko46111113113
WSep 7 · 21:55D. Derevynskyi331111113S. Skachenko206860
LAug 19 · 23:35D. Derevynskyi4491141192S. Skachenko50118119113
WAug 18 · 02:55D. Derevynskyi49121195123S. Skachenko501081111102
WAug 5 · 15:25D. Derevynskyi3811115113S. Skachenko30471181
WAug 3 · 22:25D. Derevynskyi50119811113S. Skachenko4471111692
LJul 31 · 23:35D. Derevynskyi345111081S. Skachenko3811412113
WJul 17 · 03:55D. Derevynskyi46131111113S. Skachenko31153671
LJul 15 · 13:55D. Derevynskyi4481161182S. Skachenko47118116113
LJun 17 · 18:25D. Derevynskyi51912101192S. Skachenko501110126113
D. Derevynskyi10
LSep 15 · 01:25D. Derevynskyi1.80911811122R. Gnoevoy1.91118118143WSep 14 · 23:55D. Derevynskyi1.731111123O. Naida2.0068100LSep 14 · 21:55D. Derevynskyi1.8011113111S. Abalmaz1.9181311133LSep 12 · 03:35D. Derevynskyi1.571211138102O. Melashenko2.251491111123LSep 12 · 01:35Y. Krol2.631211133D. Derevynskyi1.44105110WSep 12 · 24:35D. Derevynskyi2.631111113O. Gomilko1.445760WSep 11 · 23:35K. Hrynenko2.50711791D. Derevynskyi1.5011711113LSep 11 · 22:05D. Derevynskyi2.505970V. Lobas1.501111113LSep 11 · 04:25D. Derevynskyi1.73771191S. Abalmaz2.0011119113LSep 11 · 24:25V. Khamurda1.8011711113D. Derevynskyi1.91711791
S. Skachenko10
WSep 15 · 24:25V. Khamurda1.83111181282S. Skachenko1.837131110113LSep 14 · 23:25S. Skachenko1.83119116102R. Gnoevoy1.83511811123WSep 14 · 22:25O. Naida2.104650S. Skachenko1.671111113WSep 9 · 19:55D. Rehotun2.5011971182S. Skachenko1.50711116113LSep 9 · 18:55K. Hrynenko2.104111012133S. Skachenko1.671191210112WSep 9 · 17:25O. Melashenko2.0051190S. Skachenko1.731113113WSep 9 · 15:25V. Kobets2.387712111S. Skachenko1.53111110133WSep 9 · 13:25S. Khandetskyi2.3813690S. Skachenko1.531511113LSep 8 · 19:25T. Ponomarenko2.38131114103S. Skachenko1.531561281LSep 8 · 18:25S. Skachenko1.838790S. Abalmaz1.831111113
Upcoming Matches
D. Derevynskyi
S. Skachenko
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.