TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13106446
Played Sep 11Finished
Dmytro Derevynskyi
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711711119911––
Spartak Abalmaz
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:43 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeDmytro Derevynskyi to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmytro Derevynskyi above · Spartak Abalmaz below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 76 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Dmytro Derevynskyi at 54.1%
76 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Derevynskyi 42–32 Spartak Abalmaz Spartak Abalmaz has won 32 of their 74 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:43What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Derevynskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-32 in 74
Derevynskyi
Wrong
gap of 10 in 74, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Derevynskyi 1594 vs Abalmaz 1594
Derevynskyi
Wrong
both rated, 0 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Derevynskyi 60% vs Abalmaz 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Derevynskyi 60% vs Abalmaz 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Derevynskyi -1 · Abalmaz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Derevynskyi)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDerevynskyi 1.73 / Abalmaz 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Derevynskyi)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13106446
Derevynskyi1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 199 of 343
Up 2–0, closes it90% 93 of 103
Up 1–0, closes it72% 141 of 196
Abalmaz2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog51% won 71 of 140
Down 0–1, comes back33% 23 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back13% 4 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDerevynskyi5wins
AwayAbalmaz5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDerevynskyi66.7%4 of 6
AwayAbalmaz75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Derevynskyi6Abalmaz4n = 10Derevynskyi took 6 of 10
S2Derevynskyi5Abalmaz5n = 10split evenly
S3Derevynskyi4Abalmaz6n = 10Abalmaz took 6 of 10
S4Derevynskyi4Abalmaz3n = 7Derevynskyi took 4 of 7
S5Derevynskyi2Abalmaz2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDerevynskyiAbalmazD − ABasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.539.2+1.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDerevynskyiAbalmazBasisWin rate · lifetime478 / 871 vs 418 / 82554.9%50.7%478 / 871 vs 418 / 825Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DerevynskyiDerevynskyi 1.73/Abalmaz 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Derevynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Abalmaz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 01:25D. Derevynskyi—11971192S. Abalmaz—211115113
WSep 4 · 04:25D. Derevynskyi—1111113S. Abalmaz—8760
LSep 1 · 04:25D. Derevynskyi—7118101S. Abalmaz—11811123
LAug 30 · 23:25D. Derevynskyi—5620S. Abalmaz—1111113
LAug 25 · 23:05D. Derevynskyi—129411132S. Abalmaz—1011117153
WAug 25 · 24:55D. Derevynskyi—1011811113S. Abalmaz—12411982
LAug 17 · 23:25D. Derevynskyi—91111131S. Abalmaz—11813153
WAug 14 · 02:25D. Derevynskyi—115119113S. Abalmaz—91131192
WAug 4 · 03:55D. Derevynskyi—1411153S. Abalmaz—128130
WJul 29 · 02:05D. Derevynskyi—111211113S. Abalmaz—914661
D. Derevynskyi10
LSep 11 · 24:25V. Khamurda1.8011711113D. Derevynskyi1.91711791WSep 10 · 23:25D. Derevynskyi1.731111133T. Ponomarenko2.0087110WSep 10 · 22:25R. Gnoevoy2.00910131162D. Derevynskyi1.731112115113WSep 8 · 19:55V. Khamurda1.807770D. Derevynskyi1.911111113LSep 8 · 18:55R. Gnoevoy1.911111113D. Derevynskyi1.808980LSep 8 · 17:25S. Skachenko2.10111113113D. Derevynskyi1.67651561LSep 8 · 15:25S. Abalmaz2.1091111113D. Derevynskyi1.67112341WSep 8 · 13:25T. Ponomarenko2.00591251D. Derevynskyi1.73111110113WSep 8 · 03:25V. Khamurda1.831199141D. Derevynskyi1.8391111163WSep 8 · 02:25D. Derevynskyi1.801111113R. Gnoevoy1.919760
S. Abalmaz10
LSep 11 · 02:55S. Abalmaz1.4481118582T. Ponomarenko2.631181611113WSep 11 · 24:55R. Gnoevoy1.919460S. Abalmaz1.801111113LSep 10 · 22:55V. Khamurda2.50111111113S. Abalmaz1.50561381WSep 8 · 20:25S. Abalmaz1.8071111113R. Gnoevoy1.91117751WSep 8 · 18:25S. Skachenko1.838790S. Abalmaz1.831111113WSep 8 · 16:25T. Ponomarenko2.63113681S. Abalmaz1.4441111113WSep 8 · 15:25S. Abalmaz2.1091111113D. Derevynskyi1.67112341LSep 8 · 14:25V. Khamurda2.63111110113S. Abalmaz1.44671211LSep 8 · 03:55K. Hrynenko2.001112310133S. Abalmaz1.737101112112LSep 8 · 02:55S. Skachenko1.83126114123S. Abalmaz1.831011711102
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