TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13095088
Played Sep 8Finished
Spartak Abalmaz
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711117117115––
Roman Gnoevoy
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:41 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSpartak Abalmaz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSpartak Abalmaz above · Roman Gnoevoy below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 70 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Spartak Abalmaz at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Spartak Abalmaz 54–46 Roman Gnoevoy Roman Gnoevoy has won 46 of their 100 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 21:41What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Abalmaz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
54-46 in 100
Abalmaz
Correct
gap of 8 in 100, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Abalmaz 1602 vs Gnoevoy 1542
Abalmaz
Correct
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Abalmaz 60% vs Gnoevoy 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Abalmaz 50% vs Gnoevoy 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Abalmaz +3 · Gnoevoy +1
Abalmaz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Abalmaz)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAbalmaz 1.80 / Gnoevoy 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Abalmaz)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13095088
Abalmaz1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite59% won 175 of 296
Up 2–0, closes it95% 79 of 83
Up 1–0, closes it76% 128 of 168
Gnoevoy1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog50% won 111 of 224
Down 0–1, comes back25% 27 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back14% 9 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAbalmaz6wins
AwayGnoevoy4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderAbalmaz leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAbalmaz60%3 of 5
AwayGnoevoy40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Abalmaz5Gnoevoy5n = 10split evenly
S2Abalmaz6Gnoevoy4n = 10Abalmaz took 6 of 10
S3Abalmaz6Gnoevoy4n = 10Abalmaz took 6 of 10
S4Abalmaz2Gnoevoy6n = 8Gnoevoy took 6 of 8
S5Abalmaz4Gnoevoy1n = 5Abalmaz took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricAbalmazGnoevoyA − GBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.538.8+1.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAbalmazGnoevoyBasisWin rate · lifetime427 / 836 vs 413 / 82051.1%50.4%427 / 836 vs 413 / 820Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AbalmazAbalmaz 1.80/Gnoevoy 1.91
Hit
What we said
54%
Abalmaz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Abalmaz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 23:25S. Abalmaz—911115113R. Gnoevoy—11591172
WSep 4 · 02:25S. Abalmaz—1051113113R. Gnoevoy—121191172
WSep 1 · 22:25S. Abalmaz—1111113R. Gnoevoy—5670
LAug 31 · 23:25S. Abalmaz—71111772R. Gnoevoy—117511113
WAug 31 · 24:25S. Abalmaz—611811113R. Gnoevoy—11811582
WAug 28 · 16:05S. Abalmaz—1111113R. Gnoevoy—6580
WAug 28 · 24:55S. Abalmaz—121186113R. Gnoevoy—107111142
LAug 14 · 04:25S. Abalmaz—891131R. Gnoevoy—11115113
LAug 11 · 18:55S. Abalmaz—1181041R. Gnoevoy—61112113
LAug 11 · 02:55S. Abalmaz—1151951R. Gnoevoy—61121113
S. Abalmaz10
WSep 8 · 18:25S. Skachenko1.838790S. Abalmaz1.831111113WSep 8 · 16:25T. Ponomarenko2.63113681S. Abalmaz1.4441111113WSep 8 · 15:25S. Abalmaz2.1091111113D. Derevynskyi1.67112341LSep 8 · 14:25V. Khamurda2.63111110113S. Abalmaz1.44671211LSep 8 · 03:55K. Hrynenko2.001112310133S. Abalmaz1.737101112112LSep 8 · 02:55S. Skachenko1.83126114123S. Abalmaz1.831011711102WSep 8 · 01:25D. Derevynskyi1.6111971192S. Abalmaz2.20211115113WSep 7 · 23:25R. Gnoevoy1.9111591172S. Abalmaz1.80911115113LSep 7 · 21:25V. Khamurda2.6391114113S. Abalmaz1.441171231LSep 4 · 04:25S. Abalmaz2.108760D. Derevynskyi1.671111113
R. Gnoevoy10
WSep 8 · 18:55R. Gnoevoy1.911111113D. Derevynskyi1.808980LSep 8 · 16:55V. Khamurda1.611311113R. Gnoevoy2.2011980WSep 8 · 14:55T. Ponomarenko2.38118951R. Gnoevoy1.5391111113LSep 8 · 13:55S. Skachenko1.8311115123R. Gnoevoy1.838611101WSep 8 · 04:25R. Gnoevoy1.801111117113S. Skachenko1.9113381192LSep 8 · 02:25D. Derevynskyi1.801111113R. Gnoevoy1.919760WSep 8 · 24:25V. Khamurda1.73811971R. Gnoevoy2.0011811113LSep 7 · 23:25R. Gnoevoy1.9111591172S. Abalmaz1.80911115113LSep 7 · 22:25K. Hrynenko2.201112113R. Gnoevoy1.6181090LSep 4 · 03:25V. Khamurda1.61117111113R. Gnoevoy2.2091131182
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