TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13095102
Played Sep 8Finished
Vitalii Khamurda
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311119118––––
Roman Gnoevoy
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:51 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeVitalii Khamurda to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Khamurda above · Roman Gnoevoy below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 63 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Vitalii Khamurda at 54.1%
63 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Khamurda 124–68 Roman Gnoevoy Roman Gnoevoy has won 68 of their 192 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 21:51What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Khamurda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
124-68 in 192
Khamurda
Correct
gap of 56 in 192, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khamurda 1595 vs Gnoevoy 1537
Khamurda
Correct
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khamurda 40% vs Gnoevoy 60%
Gnoevoy
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khamurda 60% vs Gnoevoy 40%
Khamurda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Khamurda +1 · Gnoevoy +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Khamurda) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gnoevoy form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhamurda 1.61 / Gnoevoy 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Khamurda)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13095102
Khamurda1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite53% won 112 of 211
Up 2–0, closes it98% 50 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it75% 66 of 88
Gnoevoy2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 111 of 224
Down 0–1, comes back25% 27 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back14% 9 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhamurda7wins
AwayGnoevoy3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKhamurda leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhamurda100%5 of 5
AwayGnoevoy60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khamurda5Gnoevoy5n = 10split evenly
S2Khamurda4Gnoevoy6n = 10Gnoevoy took 6 of 10
S3Khamurda4Gnoevoy6n = 10Gnoevoy took 6 of 10
S4Khamurda5Gnoevoy2n = 7Khamurda took 5 of 7
S5Khamurda4Gnoevoy0n = 4Khamurda took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhamurdaGnoevoyK − GBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.335.4+2.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhamurdaGnoevoyBasisWin rate · lifetime466 / 886 vs 412 / 82152.6%50.2%466 / 886 vs 412 / 821Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhamurdaKhamurda 1.61/Gnoevoy 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Khamurda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Khamurda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 24:25V. Khamurda—811971R. Gnoevoy—11811113
WSep 4 · 03:25V. Khamurda—117111113R. Gnoevoy—91131182
LSep 2 · 01:55V. Khamurda—41270R. Gnoevoy—1114113
WAug 31 · 21:25V. Khamurda—711813113R. Gnoevoy—113111162
WAug 31 · 03:25V. Khamurda—111311113R. Gnoevoy—915961
WAug 28 · 13:05V. Khamurda—1111113R. Gnoevoy—8740
WAug 27 · 23:55V. Khamurda—811811113R. Gnoevoy—11411322
WAug 13 · 22:55V. Khamurda—113311113R. Gnoevoy—41111482
LAug 11 · 13:55V. Khamurda—61270R. Gnoevoy—1114113
WAug 11 · 01:25V. Khamurda—12811113R. Gnoevoy—1011541
V. Khamurda10
LSep 8 · 17:55T. Ponomarenko2.00111175113V. Khamurda1.7388111192WSep 8 · 14:25V. Khamurda2.63111110113S. Abalmaz1.44671211LSep 8 · 03:25V. Khamurda1.831199141D. Derevynskyi1.8391111163WSep 8 · 01:55V. Khamurda1.731111113K. Hrynenko2.006980LSep 8 · 24:25V. Khamurda1.73811971R. Gnoevoy2.0011811113LSep 7 · 22:55V. Khamurda1.6712791272S. Skachenko2.1010111110113WSep 7 · 21:25V. Khamurda2.6391114113S. Abalmaz1.441171231WSep 4 · 03:25V. Khamurda1.61117111113R. Gnoevoy2.2091131182WSep 4 · 01:55V. Khamurda2.001311113O. Naida1.7311830WSep 4 · 24:25V. Khamurda2.5011118113S. Abalmaz1.50981151
R. Gnoevoy10
WSep 8 · 14:55T. Ponomarenko2.38118951R. Gnoevoy1.5391111113LSep 8 · 13:55S. Skachenko1.8311115123R. Gnoevoy1.838611101WSep 8 · 04:25R. Gnoevoy1.801111117113S. Skachenko1.9113381192LSep 8 · 02:25D. Derevynskyi1.801111113R. Gnoevoy1.919760WSep 8 · 24:25V. Khamurda1.73811971R. Gnoevoy2.0011811113LSep 7 · 23:25R. Gnoevoy1.9111591172S. Abalmaz1.80911115113LSep 7 · 22:25K. Hrynenko2.201112113R. Gnoevoy1.6181090LSep 4 · 03:25V. Khamurda1.61117111113R. Gnoevoy2.2091131182LSep 4 · 02:25R. Gnoevoy1.91121191172S. Abalmaz1.801051113113WSep 4 · 01:25R. Gnoevoy1.571111113T. Ponomarenko2.255680
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