TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13095012
Played Sep 8Finished
Tymur Ponomarenko
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118118711511119
Vitalii Khamurda
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:43 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeVitalii Khamurda to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTymur Ponomarenko above · Vitalii Khamurda below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 92 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Vitalii Khamurda at 56.9%
92 points played in total.
H2H Tymur Ponomarenko 10–11 Vitalii Khamurda Tymur Ponomarenko has won 10 of their 21 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 21:43What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Khamurda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-11 in 21
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ponomarenko 1409 vs Khamurda 1607
Khamurda
Wrong
both rated, 198 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ponomarenko 40% vs Khamurda 60%
Khamurda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ponomarenko 30% vs Khamurda 70%
Khamurda
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ponomarenko -3 · Khamurda +2
Ponomarenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Khamurda)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPonomarenko 2.00 / Khamurda 1.73
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Khamurda)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13095012
Ponomarenko2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 36 of 102
Down 0–1, comes back14% 8 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 36
Khamurda1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite53% won 112 of 211
Up 2–0, closes it98% 50 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it75% 66 of 88
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePonomarenko5wins
AwayKhamurda5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePonomarenko57.1%4 of 7
AwayKhamurda66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ponomarenko7Khamurda3n = 10Ponomarenko took 7 of 10
S2Ponomarenko4Khamurda6n = 10Khamurda took 6 of 10
S3Ponomarenko5Khamurda5n = 10split evenly
S4Ponomarenko3Khamurda3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPonomarenkoKhamurdaP − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match33.933.8+0.1per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPonomarenkoKhamurdaBasisWin rate · lifetime202 / 372 vs 467 / 88754.3%52.7%202 / 372 vs 467 / 887Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhamurdaPonomarenko 2.00/Khamurda 1.73
Miss
What we said
56.9%
Khamurda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Ponomarenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 21:25T. Ponomarenko—118261V. Khamurda—91111113
WSep 1 · 22:55T. Ponomarenko—11911113V. Khamurda—711691
LSep 1 · 03:25T. Ponomarenko—11117782V. Khamurda—691111113
LAug 30 · 21:55T. Ponomarenko—9570V. Khamurda—1111113
WAug 28 · 16:35T. Ponomarenko—1111113V. Khamurda—5890
WAug 26 · 03:05T. Ponomarenko—11811113V. Khamurda—411761
WAug 21 · 01:25T. Ponomarenko—121111113V. Khamurda—147961
LAug 18 · 22:35T. Ponomarenko—116831V. Khamurda—41111113
WAug 18 · 03:25T. Ponomarenko—1211123V. Khamurda—106100
LAug 13 · 21:25T. Ponomarenko—9950V. Khamurda—1111113
T. Ponomarenko10
LSep 8 · 16:25T. Ponomarenko2.63113681S. Abalmaz1.4441111113LSep 8 · 14:55T. Ponomarenko2.38118951R. Gnoevoy1.5391111113LSep 8 · 13:25T. Ponomarenko2.00591251D. Derevynskyi1.73111110113WSep 4 · 03:55O. Naida1.5091131152T. Ponomarenko2.50117112113WSep 4 · 02:55D. Derevynskyi1.80108111132T. Ponomarenko1.91121148113LSep 4 · 01:25R. Gnoevoy1.571111113T. Ponomarenko2.255680LSep 3 · 23:25S. Abalmaz1.571111143T. Ponomarenko2.2555120LSep 3 · 21:25V. Khamurda1.8391111113T. Ponomarenko1.83118261WSep 2 · 04:25S. Abalmaz1.4471180T. Ponomarenko2.631113113LSep 2 · 02:55T. Ponomarenko2.1088170S. Skachenko1.671111193
V. Khamurda10
WSep 8 · 16:55V. Khamurda1.611311113R. Gnoevoy2.2011980WSep 8 · 14:25V. Khamurda2.63111110113S. Abalmaz1.44671211LSep 8 · 03:25V. Khamurda1.831199141D. Derevynskyi1.8391111163WSep 8 · 01:55V. Khamurda1.731111113K. Hrynenko2.006980LSep 8 · 24:25V. Khamurda1.73811971R. Gnoevoy2.0011811113LSep 7 · 22:55V. Khamurda1.6712791272S. Skachenko2.1010111110113WSep 7 · 21:25V. Khamurda2.6391114113S. Abalmaz1.441171231WSep 4 · 03:25V. Khamurda1.61117111113R. Gnoevoy2.2091131182WSep 4 · 01:55V. Khamurda2.001311113O. Naida1.7311830WSep 3 · 21:25V. Khamurda1.8391111113T. Ponomarenko1.83118261
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