TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100961
Played Sep 9Finished
Serhii Khandetskyi
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1315611911––––
Serhii Skachenko
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:26 and never touched — 61.6% is still 61.6%
Graded at full timeSerhii Skachenko to win
61.6%
61.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Khandetskyi above · Serhii Skachenko below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 65 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Serhii Skachenko at 61.6%
65 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Khandetskyi 1–1 Serhii Skachenko Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:26What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Skachenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Khandetskyi 1496 vs Skachenko 1536
Skachenko
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khandetskyi 40% vs Skachenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khandetskyi 40% vs Skachenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Khandetskyi -3 · Skachenko -2
Khandetskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Skachenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skachenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhandetskyi 2.38 / Skachenko 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Skachenko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13100961
Khandetskyi2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 97 of 193
Down 0–1, comes back29% 29 of 100
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 48
Skachenko1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 38 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it66% 27 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKhandetskyi1wins
AwaySkachenko1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricKhandetskyiSkachenkoK − SBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match35.538.0−2.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhandetskyiSkachenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime398 / 798 vs 119 / 29849.9%39.9%398 / 798 vs 119 / 298Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkachenkoKhandetskyi 2.38/Skachenko 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.6%
Skachenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Skachenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 20 · 01:05S. Khandetskyi—691111123S. Skachenko—111156102
LAug 5 · 18:55S. Khandetskyi—7960S. Skachenko—1111113
S. Khandetskyi10
LSep 9 · 03:05D. Rehotun2.63611811123S. Khandetskyi1.44112118102LSep 9 · 02:05S. Khandetskyi1.831181141S. Pitsyk1.8313116113LSep 9 · 01:05S. Khandetskyi2.50114911112O. Naida1.50511119133WSep 8 · 23:35S. Khandetskyi2.50111014113K. Hrynenko1.503121291WSep 8 · 21:35S. Khandetskyi1.67102111113D. Us2.101219661WSep 7 · 20:25O. Naida1.44951181S. Khandetskyi2.6311114113LSep 7 · 18:55S. Khandetskyi1.806171251H. Kulishov1.91111514113LSep 7 · 16:55V. Kobets1.8311119113S. Khandetskyi1.83441181LSep 7 · 14:55O. Melashenko2.101311133S. Khandetskyi1.67116110WSep 7 · 13:55P. Ishchyk1.83117771S. Khandetskyi1.8371111113
S. Skachenko10
LSep 8 · 19:25T. Ponomarenko2.38131114103S. Skachenko1.531561281LSep 8 · 18:25S. Skachenko1.838790S. Abalmaz1.831111113WSep 8 · 17:25S. Skachenko2.10111113113D. Derevynskyi1.67651561WSep 8 · 13:55S. Skachenko1.8311115123R. Gnoevoy1.838611101LSep 8 · 04:25R. Gnoevoy1.801111117113S. Skachenko1.9113381192WSep 8 · 02:55S. Skachenko1.83126114123S. Abalmaz1.831011711102WSep 8 · 24:55K. Hrynenko2.0011113892S. Skachenko1.73981111113WSep 7 · 22:55V. Khamurda1.6712791272S. Skachenko2.1010111110113LSep 7 · 21:55D. Derevynskyi1.801111113S. Skachenko1.916860LSep 2 · 03:55R. Gnoevoy1.8311813113S. Skachenko1.834111181
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