TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13101049
Played Sep 9Finished
Vitalii Kobets
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
71171112101113––
Serhii Skachenko
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:47 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeSerhii Skachenko to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Kobets above · Serhii Skachenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 82 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Serhii Skachenko at 54.5%
82 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Kobets 0–1 Serhii Skachenko Vitalii Kobets has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:47What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Skachenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kobets 1492 vs Skachenko 1548
Skachenko
Correct
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kobets 60% vs Skachenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kobets 50% vs Skachenko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kobets +1 · Skachenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Skachenko) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kobets form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKobets 2.38 / Skachenko 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Skachenko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13101049
Kobets2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 73 of 164
Down 0–1, comes back26% 24 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back12% 6 of 52
Skachenko1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite51% won 38 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it66% 27 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKobets0wins
AwaySkachenko1wins
Skachenko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKobetsSkachenkoK − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match35.040.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKobetsSkachenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime450 / 871 vs 120 / 29951.7%40.1%450 / 871 vs 120 / 299Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkachenkoKobets 2.38/Skachenko 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.6%
Skachenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Skachenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 20 · 03:05V. Kobets—1011591S. Skachenko—12611113
V. Kobets10
WSep 9 · 14:25D. Rehotun2.0010610V. Kobets1.731211113LSep 7 · 19:55V. Kobets2.2510590H. Kulishov1.571211113LSep 7 · 17:55O. Melashenko1.671211113V. Kobets2.1010530WSep 7 · 16:55V. Kobets1.8311119113S. Khandetskyi1.83441181WSep 7 · 15:55P. Ishchyk1.831159121V. Kobets1.8361111143LSep 7 · 14:25V. Kobets2.1010770O. Naida1.671211113LAug 31 · 19:55V. Kobets4.332490K. Hrynenko1.201111113WAug 31 · 17:55Y. Sokoltsov2.20711491V. Kobets1.6111911113LAug 31 · 16:55V. Kobets1.731010111112S. Khandetskyi2.00121239113WAug 31 · 15:55D. Rehotun1.674770V. Kobets2.101111113
S. Skachenko10
WSep 9 · 13:25S. Khandetskyi2.3813690S. Skachenko1.531511113LSep 8 · 19:25T. Ponomarenko2.38131114103S. Skachenko1.531561281LSep 8 · 18:25S. Skachenko1.838790S. Abalmaz1.831111113WSep 8 · 17:25S. Skachenko2.10111113113D. Derevynskyi1.67651561WSep 8 · 13:55S. Skachenko1.8311115123R. Gnoevoy1.838611101LSep 8 · 04:25R. Gnoevoy1.801111117113S. Skachenko1.9113381192WSep 8 · 02:55S. Skachenko1.83126114123S. Abalmaz1.831011711102WSep 8 · 24:55K. Hrynenko2.0011113892S. Skachenko1.73981111113WSep 7 · 22:55V. Khamurda1.6712791272S. Skachenko2.1010111110113LSep 7 · 21:55D. Derevynskyi1.801111113S. Skachenko1.916860
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.