TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13128305
Played Sep 14Finished
Serhii Skachenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1159111186111012
Roman Gnoevoy
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:40 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Skachenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Skachenko above · Roman Gnoevoy below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 94 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Serhii Skachenko at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Skachenko 7–7 Roman Gnoevoy Dead even across their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:40What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Gnoevoy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-7 in 14
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skachenko 1582 vs Gnoevoy 1481
Skachenko
Wrong
both rated, 101 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skachenko 80% vs Gnoevoy 0%
Skachenko
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skachenko 70% vs Gnoevoy 20%
Skachenko
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skachenko +2 · Gnoevoy -5
Gnoevoy
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skachenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gnoevoy form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkachenko 1.83 / Gnoevoy 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Skachenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13128305
Skachenko1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Gnoevoy1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkachenko6wins
AwayGnoevoy4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSkachenko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkachenko75%6 of 8
AwayGnoevoyn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skachenko8Gnoevoy2n = 10Skachenko took 8 of 10
S2Skachenko4Gnoevoy6n = 10Gnoevoy took 6 of 10
S3Skachenko2Gnoevoy8n = 10Gnoevoy took 8 of 10
S4Skachenko6Gnoevoy2n = 8Skachenko took 6 of 8
S5Skachenko2Gnoevoy1n = 3Skachenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkachenkoGnoevoyS − GBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.439.7−0.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkachenkoGnoevoyBasisWin rate · lifetime124 / 304 vs 405 / 81540.8%49.7%124 / 304 vs 405 / 815Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkachenkoSkachenko 1.83/Gnoevoy 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Skachenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Gnoevoy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 13:55S. Skachenko3911115123R. Gnoevoy358611101
LSep 8 · 04:25S. Skachenko4413381192R. Gnoevoy511111117113
LSep 2 · 03:55S. Skachenko344111181R. Gnoevoy4311813113
WAug 28 · 14:05S. Skachenko48117811113R. Gnoevoy4451111982
WAug 27 · 22:25S. Skachenko4011126113R. Gnoevoy314101161
LAug 11 · 14:55S. Skachenko34117971R. Gnoevoy4071111113
WAug 10 · 23:25S. Skachenko55111117163R. Gnoevoy4971315141
WAug 4 · 22:05S. Skachenko331111113R. Gnoevoy257990
LAug 4 · 04:25S. Skachenko164390R. Gnoevoy331111113
WJul 31 · 02:55S. Skachenko51118912113R. Gnoevoy46811111062
S. Skachenko10
WSep 14 · 22:25O. Naida2.104650S. Skachenko1.671111113WSep 9 · 19:55D. Rehotun2.5011971182S. Skachenko1.50711116113LSep 9 · 18:55K. Hrynenko2.104111012133S. Skachenko1.671191210112WSep 9 · 17:25O. Melashenko2.0051190S. Skachenko1.731113113WSep 9 · 15:25V. Kobets2.387712111S. Skachenko1.53111110133WSep 9 · 13:25S. Khandetskyi2.3813690S. Skachenko1.531511113LSep 8 · 19:25T. Ponomarenko2.38131114103S. Skachenko1.531561281LSep 8 · 18:25S. Skachenko1.838790S. Abalmaz1.831111113WSep 8 · 17:25S. Skachenko2.10111113113D. Derevynskyi1.67651561WSep 8 · 13:55S. Skachenko1.8311115123R. Gnoevoy1.838611101
R. Gnoevoy10
LSep 14 · 21:25V. Khamurda1.7311811113R. Gnoevoy2.00711641LSep 11 · 03:55R. Gnoevoy1.508590T. Ponomarenko2.501111113LSep 11 · 01:55V. Khamurda1.73111376163R. Gnoevoy2.004111111142LSep 11 · 24:55R. Gnoevoy1.919460S. Abalmaz1.801111113LSep 10 · 22:25R. Gnoevoy2.00910131162D. Derevynskyi1.731112115113LSep 8 · 20:25S. Abalmaz1.8071111113R. Gnoevoy1.91117751WSep 8 · 18:55R. Gnoevoy1.911111113D. Derevynskyi1.808980LSep 8 · 16:55V. Khamurda1.611311113R. Gnoevoy2.2011980WSep 8 · 14:55T. Ponomarenko2.38118951R. Gnoevoy1.5391111113LSep 8 · 13:55S. Skachenko1.8311115123R. Gnoevoy1.838611101
Upcoming Matches
S. Skachenko
Sep 15 · 24:25S. Skachenko1.83V. Khamurda1.83—Sep 15 · 02:25S. Skachenko2.00D. Derevynskyi1.73—Sep 15 · 04:25S. Skachenko1.83S. Abalmaz1.83—Sep 15 · 21:35S. Skachenko1.83R. Gnoevoy1.83—Sep 15 · 23:35S. Skachenko1.83S. Abalmaz1.83—Sep 16 · 01:05S. Skachenko1.83V. Khamurda1.83—Sep 16 · 02:05S. Skachenko1.53O. Naida2.38—Sep 16 · 03:05S. Skachenko1.61T. Ponomarenko2.20—
R. Gnoevoy
Sep 15 · 01:25R. Gnoevoy1.91D. Derevynskyi1.80—Sep 15 · 02:55R. Gnoevoy2.00S. Abalmaz1.73—Sep 15 · 03:55R. Gnoevoy1.83O. Naida1.83—Sep 15 · 21:35R. Gnoevoy1.83S. Skachenko1.83—Sep 15 · 22:35R. Gnoevoy1.73T. Ponomarenko2.00—Sep 16 · 24:35R. Gnoevoy2.00S. Abalmaz1.73—Sep 16 · 02:35R. Gnoevoy2.00V. Khamurda1.73—Sep 16 · 04:05R. Gnoevoy1.83O. Naida1.83—
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