TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100997
Played Sep 9Finished
Dmytro Rehotun
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117911711116811
Serhii Skachenko
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:36 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Skachenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Rehotun above · Serhii Skachenko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 92 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Serhii Skachenko at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:36What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Skachenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Rehotun 1374 vs Skachenko 1565
Skachenko
Correct
both rated, 190 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rehotun 20% vs Skachenko 60%
Skachenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rehotun 30% vs Skachenko 60%
Skachenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rehotun -4 · Skachenko -1
Rehotun
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Skachenko) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rehotun form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRehotun 2.50 / Skachenko 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Skachenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13100997
Rehotun2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Skachenko1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite51% won 38 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it66% 27 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricRehotunSkachenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime202 / 407 vs 122 / 30249.6%40.4%202 / 407 vs 122 / 302Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkachenkoRehotun 2.50/Skachenko 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Skachenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Skachenko won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Rehotun10
LSep 9 · 17:55S. Khandetskyi1.501111103113D. Rehotun2.5098121162LSep 9 · 16:55D. Rehotun2.201167101K. Hrynenko1.6161111123LSep 9 · 15:55O. Melashenko1.40137116113D. Rehotun2.75111131182LSep 9 · 14:25D. Rehotun2.0010610V. Kobets1.731211113WSep 9 · 03:05D. Rehotun2.63611811123S. Khandetskyi1.44112118102LSep 9 · 01:35D. Rehotun1.832660K. Hrynenko1.831111113LSep 9 · 24:05D. Rehotun1.9177111192S. Pitsyk1.80111187113WSep 8 · 22:35D. Rehotun1.671111113D. Us2.108990LSep 8 · 21:05D. Rehotun1.735250O. Naida2.001111113WSep 2 · 03:35Y. Stepanchuk2.1051161172D. Rehotun1.67119115113
S. Skachenko10
LSep 9 · 18:55K. Hrynenko2.104111012133S. Skachenko1.671191210112WSep 9 · 17:25O. Melashenko2.0051190S. Skachenko1.731113113WSep 9 · 15:25V. Kobets2.387712111S. Skachenko1.53111110133WSep 9 · 13:25S. Khandetskyi2.3813690S. Skachenko1.531511113LSep 8 · 19:25T. Ponomarenko2.38131114103S. Skachenko1.531561281LSep 8 · 18:25S. Skachenko1.838790S. Abalmaz1.831111113WSep 8 · 17:25S. Skachenko2.10111113113D. Derevynskyi1.67651561WSep 8 · 13:55S. Skachenko1.8311115123R. Gnoevoy1.838611101LSep 8 · 04:25R. Gnoevoy1.801111117113S. Skachenko1.9113381192WSep 8 · 02:55S. Skachenko1.83126114123S. Abalmaz1.831011711102
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