TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13101155
Played Sep 9Finished
Serhii Khandetskyi
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1191181012311116
Dmytro Rehotun
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:19 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeSerhii Khandetskyi to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Khandetskyi above · Dmytro Rehotun below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 92 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Serhii Khandetskyi at 64.5%
92 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Khandetskyi 3–1 Dmytro Rehotun Dmytro Rehotun has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:19What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Khandetskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Khandetskyi
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khandetskyi 1467 vs Rehotun 1383
Khandetskyi
Correct
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khandetskyi 0% vs Rehotun 20%
Rehotun
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khandetskyi 30% vs Rehotun 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Khandetskyi -5 · Rehotun -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Khandetskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rehotun form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhandetskyi 1.50 / Rehotun 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Khandetskyi)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13101155
Khandetskyi1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite47% won 62 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it91% 30 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it69% 45 of 65
Rehotun2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKhandetskyi3wins
AwayRehotun1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderKhandetskyi leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhandetskyi75%3 of 4
AwayRehotunn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khandetskyi4Rehotun0n = 4Khandetskyi took 4 of 4
S2Khandetskyi1Rehotun3n = 4Rehotun took 3 of 4
S3Khandetskyi4Rehotun0n = 4Khandetskyi took 4 of 4
S4Khandetskyi2Rehotun1n = 3Khandetskyi took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKhandetskyiRehotunK − RBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set40+4of 4Avg pointsper match40.234.0+6.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhandetskyiRehotunBasisWin rate · lifetime398 / 799 vs 202 / 40649.8%49.8%398 / 799 vs 202 / 406Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhandetskyiKhandetskyi 1.50/Rehotun 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Khandetskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Khandetskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 9 · 03:05S. Khandetskyi—112118102D. Rehotun—611811123
WSep 2 · 01:05S. Khandetskyi—11811123D. Rehotun—6117101
WAug 31 · 13:55S. Khandetskyi—1111143D. Rehotun—73120
WMar 16 · 19:25S. Khandetskyi—11712113D. Rehotun—5111061
S. Khandetskyi10
LSep 9 · 16:25S. Khandetskyi2.00115118122V. Kobets1.73611911143LSep 9 · 14:55S. Khandetskyi2.6311981162K. Hrynenko1.44511119113LSep 9 · 13:25S. Khandetskyi2.3813690S. Skachenko1.531511113LSep 9 · 03:05D. Rehotun2.63611811123S. Khandetskyi1.44112118102LSep 9 · 02:05S. Khandetskyi1.831181141S. Pitsyk1.8313116113LSep 9 · 01:05S. Khandetskyi2.50114911112O. Naida1.50511119133WSep 8 · 23:35S. Khandetskyi2.50111014113K. Hrynenko1.503121291WSep 8 · 21:35S. Khandetskyi1.67102111113D. Us2.101219661WSep 7 · 20:25O. Naida1.44951181S. Khandetskyi2.6311114113LSep 7 · 18:55S. Khandetskyi1.806171251H. Kulishov1.91111514113
D. Rehotun10
LSep 9 · 16:55D. Rehotun2.201167101K. Hrynenko1.6161111123LSep 9 · 15:55O. Melashenko1.40137116113D. Rehotun2.75111131182LSep 9 · 14:25D. Rehotun2.0010610V. Kobets1.731211113WSep 9 · 03:05D. Rehotun2.63611811123S. Khandetskyi1.44112118102LSep 9 · 01:35D. Rehotun1.832660K. Hrynenko1.831111113LSep 9 · 24:05D. Rehotun1.9177111192S. Pitsyk1.80111187113WSep 8 · 22:35D. Rehotun1.671111113D. Us2.108990LSep 8 · 21:05D. Rehotun1.735250O. Naida2.001111113WSep 2 · 03:35Y. Stepanchuk2.1051161172D. Rehotun1.67119115113WSep 2 · 02:35K. Hrynenko1.6181290D. Rehotun2.201114113
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