TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13095375
Played Sep 9Finished
Dmytro Rehotun
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711711118117911
Serhii Pitsyk
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:41 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Pitsyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Rehotun above · Serhii Pitsyk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 93 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Serhii Pitsyk at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:41What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Pitsyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Rehotun 1402 vs Pitsyk 1566
Pitsyk
Correct
both rated, 165 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rehotun 60% vs Pitsyk 40%
Rehotun
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rehotun 30% vs Pitsyk 50%
Pitsyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rehotun +1 · Pitsyk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pitsyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pitsyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRehotun 1.91 / Pitsyk 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pitsyk)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13095375
Rehotun1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Pitsyk1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 118 of 198
Up 2–0, closes it97% 57 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it79% 85 of 107
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricRehotunPitsykBasisWin rate · lifetime201 / 400 vs 318 / 59150.3%53.8%201 / 400 vs 318 / 591Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PitsykRehotun 1.91/Pitsyk 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pitsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pitsyk won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Rehotun10
LSep 9 · 01:35D. Rehotun1.832660K. Hrynenko1.831111113WSep 8 · 22:35D. Rehotun1.671111113D. Us2.108990LSep 8 · 21:05D. Rehotun1.735250O. Naida2.001111113WSep 2 · 03:35Y. Stepanchuk2.1051161172D. Rehotun1.67119115113WSep 2 · 02:35K. Hrynenko1.6181290D. Rehotun2.201114113LSep 2 · 01:05S. Khandetskyi1.5711811123D. Rehotun2.256117101LSep 1 · 23:05D. Derevynskyi1.61111212123D. Rehotun2.2041014101LSep 1 · 21:05O. Melashenko1.571111123D. Rehotun2.2577100LAug 31 · 19:25Y. Sokoltsov2.101111113D. Rehotun1.676540LAug 31 · 18:25D. Rehotun1.91115991O. Melashenko1.8091111113
S. Pitsyk10
LSep 8 · 23:05S. Pitsyk1.83911981O. Naida1.8311911113LSep 8 · 22:05K. Hrynenko1.441111113S. Pitsyk2.636740WSep 7 · 03:05Y. Stepanchuk2.75912101142S. Pitsyk1.401110125113WSep 7 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.911111113H. Kulishov1.806880LSep 7 · 01:05S. Pitsyk1.61135941A. Peretiatko2.20111111113WSep 6 · 23:35S. Pitsyk1.2891111113M. Skliar3.50119431LSep 6 · 21:35S. Pitsyk1.5013571162D. Kim2.501111118113WSep 4 · 04:05M. Fomin2.75712481S. Pitsyk1.40111011113WSep 4 · 02:35S. Pitsyk1.5011139113D. Kim2.507111151LSep 4 · 24:35A. Peretiatko2.381111113S. Pitsyk1.539740
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