TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100995
Played Sep 9Finished
Oleksandr Melashenko
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1311711113611118
Dmytro Rehotun
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:36 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Melashenko to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Melashenko above · Dmytro Rehotun below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 92 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Oleksandr Melashenko at 66.3%
92 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Melashenko 1–0 Dmytro Rehotun Dmytro Rehotun has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:36What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Melashenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Melashenko 1564 vs Rehotun 1393
Melashenko
Correct
both rated, 170 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melashenko 80% vs Rehotun 40%
Melashenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melashenko 70% vs Rehotun 40%
Melashenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Melashenko +3 · Rehotun -1
Melashenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Melashenko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelashenko 1.40 / Rehotun 2.75
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Melashenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13100995
Melashenko1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 90 of 159
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it74% 53 of 72
Rehotun2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMelashenko1wins
AwayRehotun0wins
Melashenko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMelashenkoRehotunM − RBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match42.034.0+8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelashenkoRehotunBasisWin rate · lifetime439 / 857 vs 202 / 40451.2%50%439 / 857 vs 202 / 404Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.336.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MelashenkoMelashenko 1.40/Rehotun 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Melashenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Melashenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 31 · 18:25O. Melashenko—91111113D. Rehotun—115991
O. Melashenko10
WSep 9 · 13:55O. Melashenko2.2013116113K. Hrynenko1.611151161WSep 7 · 19:25O. Melashenko1.401111113P. Ishchyk2.757990WSep 7 · 17:55O. Melashenko1.671211113V. Kobets2.1010530LSep 7 · 16:25O. Melashenko1.5713570O. Naida2.251511113WSep 7 · 14:55O. Melashenko2.101311133S. Khandetskyi1.67116110WSep 7 · 13:25O. Melashenko2.2011611113H. Kulishov1.61711991LSep 6 · 04:05Y. Krol1.28871111113O. Melashenko3.5011117872WSep 6 · 02:35O. Melashenko1.6781111113M. Marchuk2.10116771LSep 6 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.671111113O. Melashenko2.105590WSep 5 · 22:35V. Lobas1.3661080O. Melashenko3.001112113
D. Rehotun10
LSep 9 · 14:25D. Rehotun2.0010610V. Kobets1.731211113WSep 9 · 03:05D. Rehotun2.63611811123S. Khandetskyi1.44112118102LSep 9 · 01:35D. Rehotun1.832660K. Hrynenko1.831111113LSep 9 · 24:05D. Rehotun1.9177111192S. Pitsyk1.80111187113WSep 8 · 22:35D. Rehotun1.671111113D. Us2.108990LSep 8 · 21:05D. Rehotun1.735250O. Naida2.001111113WSep 2 · 03:35Y. Stepanchuk2.1051161172D. Rehotun1.67119115113WSep 2 · 02:35K. Hrynenko1.6181290D. Rehotun2.201114113LSep 2 · 01:05S. Khandetskyi1.5711811123D. Rehotun2.256117101LSep 1 · 23:05D. Derevynskyi1.61111212123D. Rehotun2.2041014101
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