TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126508
Played Sep 14Finished
Stepan Kalensky
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9117111113––––
Jan Simecek Jnr
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:07 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeJan Simecek Jnr to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingStepan Kalensky above · Jan Simecek Jnr below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 62 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Jan Simecek Jnr at 67.3%
62 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Kalensky 0–3 Jan Simecek Jnr Stepan Kalensky has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:07What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Jnr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Jnr
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kalensky 1543 vs Jnr 1622
Jnr
Correct
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kalensky 40% vs Jnr 60%
Jnr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kalensky 40% vs Jnr 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kalensky -1 · Jnr -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Jnr)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKalensky 2.63 / Jnr 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Jnr)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13126508
Kalensky2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 46 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back29% 19 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Jnr1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 59 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it84% 27 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it78% 42 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKalensky0wins
AwayJnr3wins
2 of 3 to a deciderJnr leads 3–0, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKalenskyn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayJnr100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kalensky0Jnr3n = 3Jnr took 3 of 3
S2Kalensky1Jnr2n = 3Jnr took 2 of 3
S3Kalensky2Jnr1n = 3Kalensky took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away267%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricKalenskyJnrK − JBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match36.743.3−6.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKalenskyJnrBasisWin rate · lifetime283 / 518 vs 225 / 42954.6%52.5%283 / 518 vs 225 / 429Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JnrKalensky 2.63/Jnr 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.3%
Jnr · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jnr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 9 · 19:45S. Kalensky2410680J. Jnr341211113
LAug 20 · 17:15S. Kalensky4481111682J. Jnr45117511113
LJun 30 · 18:30S. Kalensky4228121192J. Jnr511111108113
S. Kalensky10
LSep 14 · 17:30S. Kalensky2.631118151P. Rucky1.4481111173WSep 9 · 20:14S. Kalensky2.50711611113J. Gruber1.5011611942LSep 9 · 19:45J. Jnr1.611211113S. Kalensky2.2010680LSep 9 · 18:45P. Orlowski1.4491111113S. Kalensky2.63114691WSep 9 · 17:15J. Gruber1.40117741S. Kalensky2.7561111113LSep 7 · 20:29S. Kalensky2.2091211101A. Pavlik1.6111149123LSep 7 · 20:00S. Kalensky3.50512741D. Brichacek1.28111011113LSep 7 · 18:30P. Orlowski1.5011119113S. Kalensky2.50761171WSep 7 · 18:00A. Pavlik1.531041481S. Kalensky2.38121112113WSep 6 · 12:31T. Bertho1.6791060S. Kalensky2.071112113
J. Jnr10
LSep 14 · 18:00R. Merkl2.001112123J. Jnr1.73610100LSep 9 · 20:43J. Jnr1.8311118972P. Orlowski1.83851111113WSep 9 · 19:45J. Jnr1.611211113S. Kalensky2.2010680WSep 9 · 18:15J. Gruber1.40591171J. Jnr2.7511117113WSep 9 · 17:45P. Orlowski1.919101111112J. Jnr1.80111295133WSep 2 · 20:34P. Maly1.91613631J. Jnr1.80111111113LSep 2 · 19:30J. Jnr1.8039100R. Merkl1.911111123LSep 2 · 18:30J. Jnr2.63109111152M. Hajek1.44121199113WSep 2 · 17:30J. Jnr1.83111111113P. Maly1.83741391LAug 25 · 20:20P. Orlowski1.5311118113J. Jnr2.38671191
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