TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13126013
Played Sep 14Finished
Rostislav Niezgoda
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511811116611––
Tomas Dousek
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:44 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRostislav Niezgoda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRostislav Niezgoda above · Tomas Dousek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 69 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Rostislav Niezgoda at 54.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Rostislav Niezgoda 0–1 Tomas Dousek Rostislav Niezgoda has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:44What took a side4 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Niezgoda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Niezgoda 80% vs Dousek 60%
Niezgoda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Niezgoda 90% vs Dousek 70%
Niezgoda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Niezgoda +3 · Dousek -1
Niezgoda
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Niezgoda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Niezgoda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNiezgoda 1.80 / Dousek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Niezgoda)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13126013
Niezgoda1.80
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Dousek1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 34 of 80
Down 0–1, comes back33% 15 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeNiezgoda0wins
AwayDousek1wins
Dousek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricNiezgodaDousekN − DBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match30.039.0−9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNiezgodaDousekBasisWin rate · lifetime9 / 10 vs 245 / 46190%53.2%9 / 10 vs 245 / 461Avg sets wonper match2.82.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NiezgodaNiezgoda 1.80/Dousek 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Niezgoda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dousek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 14 · 19:00R. Niezgoda30581161T. Dousek3911116113
R. Niezgoda10
WSep 14 · 18:00M. Navedla1.8357111152R. Niezgoda1.83111188113WSep 9 · 21:10D. Sarganek2.357790R. Niezgoda1.481111113WSep 9 · 19:45R. Niezgoda1.731111113P. Vicherek2.009730LSep 9 · 18:45R. Niezgoda1.611110851D. Sarganek2.2091211113WSep 9 · 17:45R. Niezgoda1.5011118113R. Kowal2.50651171WSep 8 · 21:10R. Niezgoda1.2241111113M. Zaskodny4.00113571WSep 8 · 19:40A. Baros2.6311165822R. Niezgoda1.449141111113WSep 8 · 19:10M. Zaskodny3.406860R. Niezgoda1.301111113WSep 8 · 18:10R. Niezgoda1.6161111113D. Sarganek2.20119761WSep 8 · 17:10R. Niezgoda2.291111113F. Sikora1.516890
T. Dousek10
LSep 14 · 18:30T. Dousek1.73811111082L. Prikasky2.00113912113WSep 13 · 21:00T. Dousek2.0013611113D. Opanasiuk1.731111751LSep 13 · 20:30J. Dzida1.401111123T. Dousek2.7558100WSep 13 · 19:30T. Dousek2.00111179113D. Opanasiuk1.7386111162WSep 13 · 18:30M. Biolek1.5011911952T. Dousek2.50711811113WSep 10 · 17:30T. Dousek1.851114113M. Cabis1.8581270WSep 10 · 16:30T. Dousek1.83711911113R. Polasek1.8311411642WSep 10 · 15:00T. Dousek1.835121112143M. Cabis1.831110614122WSep 10 · 14:00M. Biolek1.50691361T. Dousek2.50111111113LSep 7 · 21:00T. Dousek1.7310990O. Paril2.001211113
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