TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13125517
Played Sep 15Finished
Konrad Staszczyk
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111191311911711
Kamil Kostyk
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:52 and never touched — 61.4% is still 61.4%
Graded at full timeKonrad Staszczyk to win
61.4%
61.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKonrad Staszczyk above · Kamil Kostyk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 102 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Konrad Staszczyk at 61.4%
102 points played in total.
H2H Konrad Staszczyk 9–8 Kamil Kostyk Kamil Kostyk has won 8 of their 17 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:52What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Staszczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-8 in 17
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Staszczyk 1642 vs Kostyk 1412
Staszczyk
Wrong
both rated, 229 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Staszczyk 60% vs Kostyk 40%
Staszczyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Staszczyk 50% vs Kostyk 20%
Staszczyk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Staszczyk -2 · Kostyk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Staszczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStaszczyk 1.67 / Kostyk 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Staszczyk)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13125517
Staszczyk1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest67%takes the first set · 6 of 9
As favourite65% won 153 of 237
Up 2–0, closes it88% 60 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it83% 109 of 131
Kostyk2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 46 of 133
Down 0–1, comes back19% 15 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStaszczyk5wins
AwayKostyk5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStaszczyk75%3 of 4
AwayKostyk66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Staszczyk4Kostyk6n = 10Kostyk took 6 of 10
S2Staszczyk7Kostyk3n = 10Staszczyk took 7 of 10
S3Staszczyk7Kostyk3n = 10Staszczyk took 7 of 10
S4Staszczyk2Kostyk5n = 7Kostyk took 5 of 7
S5Staszczyk2Kostyk3n = 5Kostyk took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaszczykKostykS − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.439.2+0.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaszczykKostykBasisWin rate · lifetime197 / 348 vs 221 / 44556.6%49.7%197 / 348 vs 221 / 445Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaszczykStaszczyk 1.67/Kostyk 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.6%
Staszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kostyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 19:15K. Staszczyk3851111113K. Kostyk30119821
WSep 8 · 22:35K. Staszczyk579111511113K. Kostyk4511517482
WSep 7 · 21:00K. Staszczyk551161116113K. Kostyk5071181862
LSep 7 · 15:00K. Staszczyk2054110K. Kostyk351111133
WJul 12 · 16:55K. Staszczyk331111113K. Kostyk227960
LJul 12 · 24:10K. Staszczyk44111138112K. Kostyk44451111133
WJul 11 · 21:45K. Staszczyk331111113K. Kostyk237790
LJun 14 · 10:05K. Staszczyk28691121K. Kostyk4211119113
LJun 14 · 06:15K. Staszczyk48911117102K. Kostyk51119811123
LJun 14 · 03:45K. Staszczyk3841211832K. Kostyk501110711113
K. Staszczyk10
LSep 14 · 23:20K. Staszczyk1.40118119112A. Linek2.75711711133LSep 14 · 21:50K. Staszczyk1.5097111142D. Solilo2.50111157113WSep 14 · 21:25K. Staszczyk1.221111113J. Lamperski4.008680WSep 14 · 20:30J. Witkowski1.916970K. Staszczyk1.801111113WSep 14 · 19:15K. Staszczyk1.6151111113K. Kostyk2.20119821WSep 14 · 18:05K. Rudomina2.75119871K. Staszczyk1.4061111113LSep 14 · 16:55A. Linek3.00711115113K. Staszczyk1.3611691162LSep 14 · 15:25M. Kolek2.103K. Staszczyk1.670WSep 13 · 19:40M. Kolek2.20611611102K. Staszczyk1.61115114123WSep 13 · 18:50F. Mlynarski1.5091070K. Staszczyk2.501112113
K. Kostyk10
LSep 14 · 23:45K. Kostyk2.2511113892D. Solilo1.57861111113LSep 14 · 22:55K. Kostyk1.44631161J. Lamperski2.6311114113WSep 14 · 21:00K. Kostyk1.4413119143A. Linek2.4511711121WSep 14 · 20:05A. Linek2.2511611772K. Kostyk1.57711911113LSep 14 · 19:15K. Staszczyk1.6151111113K. Kostyk2.20119821LSep 14 · 17:20M. Kolek1.57811118113K. Kostyk2.2511761162LSep 14 · 16:30K. Rudomina1.91111111113K. Kostyk1.80136951LSep 14 · 15:00J. Witkowski1.61511913113K. Kostyk2.20118111172LSep 8 · 23:20K. Kapik1.441111113K. Kostyk2.636370LSep 8 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.539111511113K. Kostyk2.3811517482
Upcoming Matches
K. Staszczyk
Nothing scheduled
K. Kostyk
Sep 15 · 15:00K. Kostyk—A. Linek——Sep 15 · 16:05K. Kostyk—J. Lamperski——Sep 15 · 17:40K. Kostyk—B. Kwodawski——Sep 15 · 18:50K. Kostyk—J. Witkowski——Sep 15 · 20:30K. Kostyk—L. Pietraszko——Sep 15 · 21:00K. Kostyk—A. Linek——Sep 15 · 22:10K. Kostyk—D. Solilo——Sep 15 · 22:35K. Kostyk—B. Kwodawski——Sep 15 · 23:20K. Kostyk—L. Pietraszko——
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