TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13128938
Played Sep 14Finished
Kamil Kostyk
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118116311811911
Dominik Solilo
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:14 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeDominik Solilo to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKamil Kostyk above · Dominik Solilo below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 89 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Dominik Solilo at 61.7%
89 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Kostyk 1–1 Dominik Solilo Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:14What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Solilo
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kostyk 1417 vs Solilo 1685
Solilo
Correct
both rated, 269 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kostyk 40% vs Solilo 80%
Solilo
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kostyk 20% vs Solilo 80%
Solilo
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kostyk -1 · Solilo -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Solilo)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solilo form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKostyk 2.25 / Solilo 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Solilo)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13128938
Kostyk2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 46 of 133
Down 0–1, comes back19% 15 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 44
Solilo1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
As favourite63% won 134 of 212
Up 2–0, closes it93% 70 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it79% 98 of 124
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKostyk1wins
AwaySolilo1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKostykSoliloK − SBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match42.036.5+5.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKostykSoliloBasisWin rate · lifetime221 / 444 vs 238 / 49349.8%48.3%221 / 444 vs 238 / 493Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SoliloKostyk 2.25/Solilo 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Solilo · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Solilo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 16 · 22:35K. Kostyk51119111192D. Solilo52131198113
WAug 16 · 16:15K. Kostyk331111113D. Solilo216780
K. Kostyk10
LSep 14 · 22:55K. Kostyk1.44631161J. Lamperski2.6311114113WSep 14 · 21:00K. Kostyk1.4413119143A. Linek2.4511711121WSep 14 · 20:05A. Linek2.2511611772K. Kostyk1.57711911113LSep 14 · 19:15K. Staszczyk1.6151111113K. Kostyk2.20119821LSep 14 · 17:20M. Kolek1.57811118113K. Kostyk2.2511761162LSep 14 · 16:30K. Rudomina1.91111111113K. Kostyk1.80136951LSep 14 · 15:00J. Witkowski1.61511913113K. Kostyk2.20118111172LSep 8 · 23:20K. Kapik1.441111113K. Kostyk2.636370LSep 8 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.539111511113K. Kostyk2.3811517482LSep 8 · 22:10K. Kostyk2.0081111482L. Pietraszko1.73119911113
D. Solilo10
LSep 14 · 22:35D. Solilo1.57111113692A. Linek2.25961511113WSep 14 · 21:50K. Staszczyk1.5097111142D. Solilo2.50111157113WSep 13 · 13:50P. Maruszak2.405330D. Solilo1.461111113WSep 13 · 13:00T. Piotrowski2.604810D. Solilo1.401111113WSep 13 · 12:10D. Solilo1.8511118113M. Kolek1.85371181WSep 13 · 10:30D. Solilo1.3311912163M. Piecowski2.9061110141LSep 13 · 09:45G. Kesik2.255171211133D. Solilo1.541115144112WSep 13 · 08:30P. Maruszak2.401840D. Solilo1.461111113WSep 13 · 07:15D. Solilo1.33111112123M. Piecowski2.907514101WSep 13 · 06:00I. Dabrowski2.4231060D. Solilo1.451112113
Upcoming Matches
K. Kostyk
Sep 15 · 15:00K. Kostyk—A. Linek——Sep 15 · 16:05K. Kostyk—J. Lamperski——Sep 15 · 17:40K. Kostyk—B. Kwodawski——Sep 15 · 18:50K. Kostyk—J. Witkowski——Sep 15 · 20:30K. Kostyk—L. Pietraszko——Sep 15 · 21:00K. Kostyk—A. Linek——Sep 15 · 22:10K. Kostyk—D. Solilo——Sep 15 · 22:35K. Kostyk—B. Kwodawski——Sep 15 · 23:20K. Kostyk—L. Pietraszko——
D. Solilo
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