TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13125519
Played Sep 14Finished
Konrad Staszczyk
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911711115117411
Dominik Solilo
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDominik Solilo to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKonrad Staszczyk above · Dominik Solilo below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 87 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Dominik Solilo at 54.0%
87 points played in total.
H2H Konrad Staszczyk 2–0 Dominik Solilo Dominik Solilo has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:53What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Staszczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Staszczyk 1667 vs Solilo 1692
Solilo
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Staszczyk 80% vs Solilo 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Staszczyk 60% vs Solilo 90%
Solilo
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Staszczyk +4 · Solilo +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Staszczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solilo form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStaszczyk 1.50 / Solilo 2.50
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Staszczyk)-2.2pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13125519
Staszczyk1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest67%takes the first set · 6 of 9
As favourite65% won 153 of 237
Up 2–0, closes it88% 60 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it83% 109 of 131
Solilo2.50
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog38% won 74 of 195
Down 0–1, comes back25% 28 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeStaszczyk2wins
AwaySolilo0wins
Staszczyk leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home2
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricStaszczykSoliloStaszczyk − SoliloBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match34.525.0+9.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaszczykSoliloBasisWin rate · lifetime197 / 346 vs 237 / 49156.9%48.3%197 / 346 vs 237 / 491Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaszczykStaszczyk 1.50/Solilo 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.3%
Staszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Solilo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 19 · 24:35K. Staszczyk351211123D. Solilo26106100
WAug 17 · 22:10K. Staszczyk341211113D. Solilo2410590
K. Staszczyk10
WSep 14 · 21:25K. Staszczyk1.221111113J. Lamperski4.008680WSep 14 · 20:30J. Witkowski1.916970K. Staszczyk1.801111113WSep 14 · 19:15K. Staszczyk1.6151111113K. Kostyk2.20119821WSep 14 · 18:05K. Rudomina2.75119871K. Staszczyk1.4061111113LSep 14 · 16:55A. Linek3.00711115113K. Staszczyk1.3611691162LSep 14 · 15:25M. Kolek2.103K. Staszczyk1.670WSep 13 · 19:40M. Kolek2.20611611102K. Staszczyk1.61115114123WSep 13 · 18:50F. Mlynarski1.5091070K. Staszczyk2.501112113LSep 13 · 18:05K. Staszczyk1.837380D. Jadam1.831111113LSep 13 · 16:30K. Staszczyk1.53119113122G. Kesik2.38711411143
D. Solilo10
LSep 14 · 22:35D. Solilo1.57111113692A. Linek2.25961511113WSep 13 · 13:50P. Maruszak2.405330D. Solilo1.461111113WSep 13 · 13:00T. Piotrowski2.604810D. Solilo1.401111113WSep 13 · 12:10D. Solilo1.8511118113M. Kolek1.85371181WSep 13 · 10:30D. Solilo1.3311912163M. Piecowski2.9061110141LSep 13 · 09:45G. Kesik2.255171211133D. Solilo1.541115144112WSep 13 · 08:30P. Maruszak2.401840D. Solilo1.461111113WSep 13 · 07:15D. Solilo1.33111112123M. Piecowski2.907514101WSep 13 · 06:00I. Dabrowski2.4231060D. Solilo1.451112113WSep 13 · 04:50T. Piotrowski2.6061112652D. Solilo1.411171011113
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