TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13125523
Played Sep 14Finished
Kamil Rudomina
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116911811711––
Konrad Staszczyk
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:55 and never touched — 55.1% is still 55.1%
Graded at full timeKonrad Staszczyk to win
55.1%
55.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKamil Rudomina above · Konrad Staszczyk below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 74 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Konrad Staszczyk at 55.1%
74 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Rudomina 4–5 Konrad Staszczyk Kamil Rudomina has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:55What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Staszczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rudomina 1454 vs Staszczyk 1655
Staszczyk
Correct
both rated, 200 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rudomina 60% vs Staszczyk 40%
Rudomina
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rudomina 50% vs Staszczyk 70%
Staszczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rudomina +1 · Staszczyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Staszczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Staszczyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRudomina 2.75 / Staszczyk 1.40
Signal prob.31% / 70%
Edge (Staszczyk)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13125523
Rudomina2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 191 of 529
Down 0–1, comes back21% 63 of 300
Down 0–2, comes back9% 13 of 149
Staszczyk1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 153 of 237
Up 2–0, closes it88% 60 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it83% 109 of 131
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeRudomina4wins
AwayStaszczyk5wins
4 of 9 to a deciderStaszczyk leads 5–4, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRudomina75%3 of 4
AwayStaszczyk80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rudomina4Staszczyk5n = 9Staszczyk took 5 of 9
S2Rudomina6Staszczyk3n = 9Rudomina took 6 of 9
S3Rudomina3Staszczyk6n = 9Staszczyk took 6 of 9
S4Rudomina4Staszczyk4n = 8split evenly
S5Rudomina2Staszczyk2n = 4split evenly
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricRudominaStaszczykR − SBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match42.241.1+1.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRudominaStaszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime972 / 2092 vs 193 / 34146.5%56.6%972 / 2092 vs 193 / 341Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaszczykRudomina 2.75/Staszczyk 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.5%
Staszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Staszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LJun 14 · 14:35K. Rudomina33611881K. Staszczyk3811511113
WJun 7 · 15:05K. Rudomina341112113K. Staszczyk2461080
WMay 31 · 05:50K. Rudomina46711413113K. Staszczyk48117111182
LMay 30 · 07:05K. Rudomina4711151381K. Staszczyk5291715113
WMay 30 · 04:35K. Rudomina51119911113K. Staszczyk4271111582
LMay 23 · 18:15K. Rudomina32911571K. Staszczyk3811511113
LMay 22 · 20:30K. Rudomina521013111172K. Staszczyk51121576113
LApr 30 · 19:20K. Rudomina4171111752K. Staszczyk44118311113
WApr 29 · 19:20K. Rudomina4412129113K. Staszczyk3310101121
K. Rudomina10
WSep 14 · 16:30K. Rudomina1.91111111113K. Kostyk1.80136951LSep 14 · 15:45A. Linek1.731151110123K. Rudomina2.00911912102WSep 14 · 24:35A. Linek1.884990K. Rudomina1.821111113LSep 13 · 22:55R. Stapor1.9711311113K. Rudomina1.69611761WSep 13 · 22:15K. Marchlewski3.3511781152K. Rudomina1.25811115113LSep 13 · 21:30D. Kotwica1.80118119113K. Rudomina1.9181191182LSep 13 · 20:05K. Rudomina1.74741171R. Stapor1.9011116113LSep 13 · 18:30J. Glanowski1.80941111113K. Rudomina1.9011116652WSep 13 · 17:45K. Marchlewski3.359101151K. Rudomina1.2511129113WSep 13 · 16:55K. Rudomina1.42128711113D. Kotwica2.50101111692
K. Staszczyk10
LSep 14 · 16:55A. Linek3.00711115113K. Staszczyk1.3611691162LSep 14 · 15:25M. Kolek2.103K. Staszczyk1.670WSep 13 · 19:40M. Kolek2.20611611102K. Staszczyk1.61115114123WSep 13 · 18:50F. Mlynarski1.5091070K. Staszczyk2.501112113LSep 13 · 18:05K. Staszczyk1.837380D. Jadam1.831111113LSep 13 · 16:30K. Staszczyk1.53119113122G. Kesik2.38711411143WSep 13 · 15:45L. Pietraszko2.38119971K. Staszczyk1.5381111113WSep 12 · 01:30K. Staszczyk1.73119119123M. Marchlewski2.00911511102WSep 12 · 24:45J. Mitas2.00116661K. Staszczyk1.7331111113WSep 11 · 23:35K. Staszczyk2.1011111113T. Filbrandt1.67881181
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