TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13125521
Played Sep 14Finished
Jakub Witkowski
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611911711––––
Konrad Staszczyk
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:54 and never touched — 60.4% is still 60.4%
Graded at full timeKonrad Staszczyk to win
60.4%
60.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Witkowski above · Konrad Staszczyk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 55 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Konrad Staszczyk at 60.4%
55 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Witkowski 0–2 Konrad Staszczyk Jakub Witkowski has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:54What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Staszczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Witkowski 1487 vs Staszczyk 1652
Staszczyk
Correct
both rated, 166 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Witkowski 40% vs Staszczyk 60%
Staszczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Witkowski 40% vs Staszczyk 60%
Staszczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Witkowski -3 · Staszczyk +2
Witkowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Staszczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Witkowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWitkowski 1.91 / Staszczyk 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Staszczyk)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13125521
Witkowski1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 68 of 185
Down 0–1, comes back16% 18 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 65
Staszczyk1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest56%takes the first set · 5 of 9
As favourite65% won 153 of 237
Up 2–0, closes it88% 60 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it83% 109 of 131
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeWitkowski0wins
AwayStaszczyk2wins
2 of 2 to a deciderStaszczyk leads 2–0, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away2
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricWitkowskiStaszczykW − SBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match43.044.5−1.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWitkowskiStaszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime399 / 857 vs 195 / 34446.6%56.7%399 / 857 vs 195 / 344Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaszczykWitkowski 1.91/Staszczyk 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.3%
Staszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Staszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LMay 16 · 18:20J. Witkowski4131113952K. Staszczyk481141111113
LMay 15 · 15:30J. Witkowski4571111792K. Staszczyk41114411113
J. Witkowski10
LSep 14 · 18:50J. Witkowski1.445770K. Rudomina2.631111113LSep 14 · 17:40J. Witkowski1.537111081A. Linek2.3811812113LSep 14 · 16:05J. Witkowski1.8065130M. Kolek1.911111153WSep 14 · 15:00J. Witkowski1.61511913113K. Kostyk2.20118111172WSep 14 · 13:55W. Iwasyszyn3.851251161J. Witkowski1.20101113113LSep 14 · 13:05A. Sobel2.108111111113J. Witkowski1.6611881342LSep 14 · 12:15J. Witkowski1.6111571182J. Glanowski2.15911115113WSep 14 · 10:35J. Witkowski1.1711611113F. Krcil4.10811891WSep 14 · 09:50J. Przewlocki4.10861191J. Witkowski1.1811114113LSep 3 · 20:05J. Witkowski5.00411581M. Benes1.1411911113
K. Staszczyk10
WSep 14 · 19:15K. Staszczyk1.6151111113K. Kostyk2.20119821WSep 14 · 18:05K. Rudomina2.75119871K. Staszczyk1.4061111113LSep 14 · 16:55A. Linek3.00711115113K. Staszczyk1.3611691162LSep 14 · 15:25M. Kolek2.103K. Staszczyk1.670WSep 13 · 19:40M. Kolek2.20611611102K. Staszczyk1.61115114123WSep 13 · 18:50F. Mlynarski1.5091070K. Staszczyk2.501112113LSep 13 · 18:05K. Staszczyk1.837380D. Jadam1.831111113LSep 13 · 16:30K. Staszczyk1.53119113122G. Kesik2.38711411143WSep 13 · 15:45L. Pietraszko2.38119971K. Staszczyk1.5381111113WSep 12 · 01:30K. Staszczyk1.73119119123M. Marchlewski2.00911511102
Upcoming Matches
J. Witkowski
Sep 15 · 09:25J. Witkowski—W. Iwasyszyn——Sep 15 · 11:00J. Witkowski—B. Czerwinski——Sep 15 · 12:15J. Witkowski—J. Zochniak——Sep 15 · 13:30J. Witkowski—K. Rudomina——Sep 15 · 14:40J. Witkowski—A. Sobel——Sep 15 · 15:45J. Witkowski—B. Kwodawski——Sep 15 · 16:30J. Witkowski—A. Linek——Sep 15 · 18:05J. Witkowski—L. Pietraszko——Sep 15 · 18:50J. Witkowski—K. Kostyk——Sep 15 · 19:40J. Witkowski—J. Lamperski——
K. Staszczyk
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