TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13128242
Played Sep 14Finished
Jakub Witkowski
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511711711––––
Kamil Rudomina
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:11 and never touched — 54.2% is still 54.2%
Graded at full timeJakub Witkowski to win
54.2%
54.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Witkowski above · Kamil Rudomina below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 52 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Jakub Witkowski at 54.2%
52 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Witkowski 3–2 Kamil Rudomina Kamil Rudomina has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:11What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Witkowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Witkowski 1503 vs Rudomina 1448
Witkowski
Wrong
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Witkowski 40% vs Rudomina 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Witkowski 50% vs Rudomina 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Witkowski -2 · Rudomina -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Witkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Witkowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWitkowski 1.44 / Rudomina 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Witkowski)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13128242
Witkowski1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 68 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it87% 47 of 54
Rudomina2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 191 of 529
Down 0–1, comes back21% 63 of 300
Down 0–2, comes back9% 13 of 149
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeWitkowski3wins
AwayRudomina2wins
2 of 5 to a deciderWitkowski leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWitkowski100%3 of 3
AwayRudominan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Witkowski3Rudomina2n = 5Witkowski took 3 of 5
S2Witkowski3Rudomina2n = 5Witkowski took 3 of 5
S3Witkowski4Rudomina1n = 5Witkowski took 4 of 5
S4Witkowski3Rudomina0n = 3Witkowski took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricWitkowskiRudominaW − RBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match40.634.4+6.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWitkowskiRudominaBasisWin rate · lifetime399 / 856 vs 972 / 209346.6%46.4%399 / 856 vs 972 / 2093Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WitkowskiWitkowski 1.44/Rudomina 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.9%
Witkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Rudomina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WMar 25 · 19:55J. Witkowski3611311113K. Rudomina35911691
WJan 1 · 10:30J. Witkowski331111113K. Rudomina268990
LDec 9 · 21:10J. Witkowski49101181192K. Rudomina43123116113
WNov 18 · 24:50J. Witkowski331111113K. Rudomina217860
LNov 17 · 22:30J. Witkowski529101111112K. Rudomina47111247133
J. Witkowski10
WSep 15 · 19:40J. Lamperski2.381111711112J. Witkowski1.53413117133LSep 15 · 18:50K. Kostyk2.1081112113J. Witkowski1.671191061LSep 15 · 18:05J. Witkowski1.91117671L. Pietraszko1.8061111113WSep 15 · 16:30J. Witkowski1.50911812113A. Linek2.50116111072WSep 15 · 15:45B. Kwodawski3.259820J. Witkowski1.331111113LSep 15 · 14:40A. Sobel2.00111011113J. Witkowski1.73912761LSep 15 · 13:30J. Witkowski1.39119581K. Rudomina2.7581111113LSep 15 · 12:15J. Zochniak2.05112811163J. Witkowski1.66711117142WSep 15 · 11:00B. Czerwinski1.8591281192J. Witkowski1.851110118113WSep 15 · 09:25W. Iwasyszyn4.40117101172J. Witkowski1.15711125113
K. Rudomina10
LSep 15 · 14:20B. Czerwinski1.9511912113K. Rudomina1.755111041WSep 15 · 13:30J. Witkowski1.39119581K. Rudomina2.7581111113WSep 15 · 11:25W. Iwasyszyn1.75113761K. Rudomina1.9551111113LSep 15 · 10:35J. Zochniak1.5391111113K. Rudomina2.35118381WSep 15 · 09:00A. Sobel1.68121111872K. Rudomina2.051013311113LSep 14 · 19:40M. Kolek1.6112911113K. Rudomina2.201011881LSep 14 · 18:05K. Rudomina2.75119871K. Staszczyk1.4061111113WSep 14 · 16:30K. Rudomina1.91111111113K. Kostyk1.80136951LSep 14 · 15:45A. Linek1.731151110123K. Rudomina2.00911912102WSep 14 · 24:35A. Linek1.884990K. Rudomina1.821111113
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