TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13129908
Played Sep 15Finished
Jakub Zochniak
Home
2.05
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1172118111171614
Jakub Witkowski
Away
1.66
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:02 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Zochniak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
98 points played in total.
Set by set
1172118111171614
H2H Jakub Zochniak 11–7 Jakub Witkowski Jakub Witkowski has won 7 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:02What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.66 (55%)
Witkowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-7 in 18
Zochniak
Correct
gap of 4 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zochniak 1605 vs Witkowski 1497
Zochniak
Correct
both rated, 108 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zochniak 60% vs Witkowski 40%
Zochniak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zochniak 50% vs Witkowski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zochniak +1 · Witkowski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Witkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Witkowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZochniak 2.05 / Witkowski 1.66
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Witkowski)-1.3pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13129908
Zochniak2.05
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 137 of 409
Down 0–1, comes back13% 30 of 232
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 124
Witkowski1.66
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 72 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it97% 30 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it85% 49 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZochniak6wins
AwayWitkowski4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZochniak leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZochniak71.4%5 of 7
AwayWitkowski66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zochniak7Witkowski3n = 10Zochniak took 7 of 10
S2Zochniak6Witkowski4n = 10Zochniak took 6 of 10
S3Zochniak6Witkowski4n = 10Zochniak took 6 of 10
S4Zochniak4Witkowski4n = 8split evenly
S5Zochniak1Witkowski2n = 3Witkowski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZochniakWitkowskiZ − WBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.339.5+0.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZochniakWitkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime1158 / 2212 vs 401 / 86052.4%46.6%1158 / 2212 vs 401 / 860Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WitkowskiZochniak 2.05/Witkowski 1.66
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Witkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zochniak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 11 · 01:10J. Zochniak331111113J. Witkowski259970
LJul 10 · 22:50J. Zochniak29612651J. Witkowski43111011113
LJun 4 · 19:25J. Zochniak44119111032J. Witkowski46811412113
WApr 9 · 15:05J. Zochniak4311129113J. Witkowski389101181
LJan 28 · 21:05J. Zochniak4671111982J. Witkowski50118911113
WDec 22 · 02:35J. Zochniak4211911113J. Witkowski35911781
LDec 22 · 24:05J. Zochniak31117581J. Witkowski4071111113
WDec 21 · 18:55J. Zochniak511211611113J. Witkowski4714611792
WDec 11 · 20:25J. Zochniak4111811113J. Witkowski34611981
WNov 27 · 24:50J. Zochniak431218133J. Witkowski371016110
J. Zochniak10
WSep 16 · 15:45M. Minda1.7376100J. Zochniak2.001111123WSep 16 · 14:40A. Szoltysek3.6598100J. Zochniak1.211111123WSep 16 · 13:30J. Zochniak1.151111113M. Zwolinski4.407990WSep 16 · 12:15A. Myszewski3.2589120J. Zochniak1.261111143WSep 16 · 11:00B. Czerwinski1.9110111014112J. Zochniak1.801291212133LSep 16 · 09:25R. Stapor2.60111147113J. Zochniak1.4195111152WSep 15 · 13:55W. Iwasyszyn3.657101191J. Zochniak1.2111124113LSep 15 · 13:05A. Sobel1.9511119113J. Zochniak1.70971121WSep 15 · 10:35J. Zochniak1.5391111113K. Rudomina2.35118381LSep 15 · 09:50B. Czerwinski1.9011711113J. Zochniak1.76611891
J. Witkowski10
WSep 15 · 19:40J. Lamperski2.381111711112J. Witkowski1.53413117133LSep 15 · 18:50K. Kostyk2.1081112113J. Witkowski1.671191061LSep 15 · 18:05J. Witkowski1.91117671L. Pietraszko1.8061111113WSep 15 · 16:30J. Witkowski1.50911812113A. Linek2.50116111072WSep 15 · 15:45B. Kwodawski3.259820J. Witkowski1.331111113LSep 15 · 14:40A. Sobel2.00111011113J. Witkowski1.73912761LSep 15 · 13:30J. Witkowski1.39119581K. Rudomina2.7581111113WSep 15 · 11:00B. Czerwinski1.8591281192J. Witkowski1.851110118113WSep 15 · 09:25W. Iwasyszyn4.40117101172J. Witkowski1.15711125113LSep 14 · 20:30J. Witkowski1.916970K. Staszczyk1.801111113
Upcoming Matches
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J. Witkowski
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