TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13136170
Played Sep 16Finished
Rafal Stapor
Home
2.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119115411711115
Jakub Zochniak
Away
1.41
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:47 and never touched — 60.4% is still 60.4%
Graded at full timeJakub Zochniak to win
60.4%
60.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
85 points played in total.
Set by set
119115411711115
H2H Rafal Stapor 6–15 Jakub Zochniak Rafal Stapor has won 6 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:47What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.41 (65%)
Zochniak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-15 in 21
Zochniak
Wrong
gap of 9 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stapor 1430 vs Zochniak 1603
Zochniak
Wrong
both rated, 173 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stapor 60% vs Zochniak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stapor 60% vs Zochniak 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stapor +1 · Zochniak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Zochniak) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zochniak form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStapor 2.60 / Zochniak 1.41
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Zochniak)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13136170
Stapor2.60
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 99 of 274
Down 0–1, comes back18% 31 of 173
Down 0–2, comes back8% 8 of 102
Zochniak1.41
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 300 of 459
Up 2–0, closes it94% 140 of 149
Up 1–0, closes it77% 222 of 289
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStapor2wins
AwayZochniak8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderZochniak leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStapor40%2 of 5
AwayZochniak100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stapor5Zochniak5n = 10split evenly
S2Stapor2Zochniak8n = 10Zochniak took 8 of 10
S3Stapor2Zochniak8n = 10Zochniak took 8 of 10
S4Stapor3Zochniak3n = 6split evenly
S5Stapor1Zochniak3n = 4Zochniak took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaporZochniakS − ZBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.539.2−4.7per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaporZochniakBasisWin rate · lifetime667 / 1179 vs 1153 / 220756.6%52.2%667 / 1179 vs 1153 / 2207Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZochniakStapor 2.60/Zochniak 1.41
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.2%
Zochniak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 09:25R. Stapor44111147113J. Zochniak4195111152
LAug 26 · 14:40R. Stapor174580J. Zochniak331111113
LAug 20 · 05:15R. Stapor2981380J. Zochniak371115113
LAug 13 · 13:05R. Stapor4511691182J. Zochniak44611115113
LAug 13 · 03:20R. Stapor258980J. Zochniak331111113
LAug 12 · 06:00R. Stapor4611681292J. Zochniak485111110113
LAug 6 · 05:15R. Stapor3711511642J. Zochniak47711711113
LAug 5 · 04:50R. Stapor25132100J. Zochniak381511123
LAug 4 · 08:30R. Stapor33961171J. Zochniak3911116113
WJul 31 · 05:35R. Stapor44111111113J. Zochniak32681351
R. Stapor10
WSep 16 · 08:35R. Stapor1.7011611113A. Myszewski2.00811881LSep 16 · 06:55R. Stapor1.4512811101M. Zwolinski2.5014117123LSep 16 · 05:40R. Stapor1.50111199102A. Szoltysek2.40991111123WSep 16 · 04:10R. Stapor1.9891111113J. Glanowski1.73118861WSep 16 · 03:00R. Stapor1.701112113K. Klocek2.0031080WSep 15 · 08:35W. Iwasyszyn2.4661131142R. Stapor1.44119117113WSep 15 · 07:20R. Stapor1.721111113K. Klocek2.006890LSep 15 · 06:05A. Sobel1.5411711113R. Stapor2.25611391WSep 15 · 04:55J. Glanowski1.678350R. Stapor2.001111113LSep 15 · 03:25B. Wisniewski2.65111011113R. Stapor1.38912641
J. Zochniak10
WSep 15 · 13:55W. Iwasyszyn3.657101191J. Zochniak1.2111124113LSep 15 · 13:05A. Sobel1.9511119113J. Zochniak1.70971121WSep 15 · 12:15J. Zochniak2.05112811163J. Witkowski1.66711117142WSep 15 · 10:35J. Zochniak1.5391111113K. Rudomina2.35118381LSep 15 · 09:50B. Czerwinski1.9011711113J. Zochniak1.76611891WSep 7 · 07:40J. Zochniak1.72119119133A. Sobel2.00711811112WSep 7 · 06:25J. Zochniak1.54111111113M. Minda2.25881381LSep 7 · 05:15J. Zochniak1.75991281D. Solilo1.95111110113LSep 7 · 04:00M. Sklensky1.42111111113J. Zochniak2.60471351LSep 7 · 03:20J. Zochniak2.95881141K. Wisniewski1.3311116113
Upcoming Matches
R. Stapor
J. Zochniak
Sep 16 · 11:00J. Zochniak1.80B. Czerwinski1.91—Sep 16 · 12:15J. Zochniak1.26A. Myszewski3.25—Sep 16 · 13:30J. Zochniak1.15M. Zwolinski4.40—Sep 16 · 14:40J. Zochniak1.21A. Szoltysek3.65—Sep 16 · 15:45J. Zochniak2.00M. Minda1.73—Sep 16 · 16:30J. Zochniak2.50M. Rutkowski1.50—Sep 16 · 18:05J. Zochniak2.25M. Kolek1.57—Sep 16 · 18:50J. Zochniak1.83D. Solilo1.83—Sep 16 · 19:40J. Zochniak1.80B. Sulkowski1.91—
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